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Figure 3.12. Region L Additional Precipitation Needed<br />

Probability of Future Hazard Events<br />

Based on historical data for Kansas, (26 disasters in 11 years), <strong>the</strong> State of Kansas, and by<br />

extension Region L, will experience drought conditions on a yearly basis. This hazard’s CPRI<br />

probability is “Highly Likely” (probable within <strong>the</strong> calendar year). With <strong>the</strong> advent of climate<br />

change, <strong>the</strong> hazard of drought may become a ‘normal’ condition for <strong>the</strong> state.<br />

Impact and Vulnerability<br />

T<strong>here</strong> are 3 phased drought stages (Watch, Warning, and Emergency Stages) that mirror <strong>the</strong><br />

stages used in <strong>the</strong> Kansas 2007 Municipal Water Conservation Plan Guidelines. The following<br />

are all factors monitored to determine <strong>the</strong> drought stage: Palmer Drought Severity Index,<br />

Standardized Precipitation Index, Percent of Normal Precipitation, Soil Moisture Percentile,<br />

Crop Moisture Index, Satellite Vegetative Health Index and <strong>the</strong> 7-Day Median Flow Percentile.<br />

The stages identified consider impacts along with moisture/water resource conditions. Kansas<br />

drought response transitions from primarily local response under a Drought Watch, with<br />

increases in <strong>the</strong> State and Federal roles at <strong>the</strong> Drought Warning and Drought Emergency<br />

stages. Table 3.35 shows <strong>the</strong> drought stage descriptions and impacts as a combination of U.S.<br />

Drought Monitor and <strong>the</strong> Municipal Guidelines.<br />

3.63

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