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Probability<br />

The release of hazardous <strong>material</strong>s, whe<strong>the</strong>r through accidental spills, human error, or o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

etiology is not in and of itself uncommon in <strong>the</strong> planning area. Minor occurrences happen fairly<br />

frequently. Precautions, laws, regulations, and checklist are all utilized to avoid this hazard,<br />

however <strong>the</strong>y continue to happen. During <strong>the</strong> last three full years, 2010 – 2012, <strong>the</strong>re were 320<br />

hazardous spill incidents in <strong>the</strong> planning area. This results in a 100% chance of this hazard<br />

occurring in any given year. The planning committee has assigned this hazard a probability of<br />

“Highly Likely.”<br />

Impact and Vulnerability<br />

Table 3.102 lists <strong>the</strong> number of hazardous <strong>material</strong>s incidents, injuries, fatalities and people<br />

evacuated from <strong>the</strong> public and facilities by county in <strong>the</strong> Region over <strong>the</strong> 10-year period of 2003-<br />

2012. T<strong>here</strong> were a total of 361 incidents reported to KDEM<br />

Table 3.102. Reported Number of Hazardous Materials incidents, Injuries, Fatalities and<br />

People Evacuated by County, 2003-2012<br />

Incident County Incidents Injuries Fatalities People Evacuated<br />

Mitigation Planning Region L<br />

Johnson 96 4 0 81<br />

Leavenworth 50 49 3 152<br />

Wyandotte 215 6 0 87<br />

Total 361 59 3 320<br />

Source: Kansas Division of Emergency Management, Technological Hazards Section<br />

***THE FOLLOWING HYPOTHETICAL SCENARIO IS FOR INSTRUCTIONAL AND<br />

ILUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY****<br />

The impact of this type of disaster will likely be localized to <strong>the</strong> immediate area surrounding <strong>the</strong><br />

incident. The initial concern will be for people and <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> environment. If contamination<br />

occurs, <strong>the</strong> spiller is responsible for <strong>the</strong> cleanup actions and will work close with local<br />

responders, KDHE, KCC, KDEM, and EPA to ensure that cleanup is done safely and in<br />

accordance with federal and state laws.<br />

As mentioned, it is difficult to determine <strong>the</strong> potential losses to existing development because of<br />

<strong>the</strong> variable nature of a hazardous <strong>material</strong>s spill. For example, a spill of a toxic airborne<br />

chemical in a populated area could have great potential for loss of life and by contrast, <strong>the</strong> spill<br />

of a very small amount of a chemical in a rural agricultural area would be much less costly and<br />

possible limited to remediation of soil.<br />

For discussion purposes, <strong>the</strong> <strong>material</strong>s needed for a spill at a fixed facility at an easily<br />

remediated area are listed below in Table 3.103. The costs for <strong>the</strong> cleanup are estimated from<br />

<strong>the</strong> current State of Kansas Unified HazMat Response Program statewide contract # 35167.<br />

3.183

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