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En model for godstransportens udvikling - DCE - Nationalt Center for ...

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are either too small (less than 1) or too large. Intuitively goods must<br />

be transported at least once. Despite this, some of the goods show a<br />

handling factor below 1. In most cases this can be explained by transport<br />

carried out by other modes than heavy vehicles e.g. as in fuelling<br />

pipelines. Intuitively the handling factor cannot be too large either,<br />

because too many separate transports are not seen in reality. One<br />

explanation to the large handling factor is that the goods transported<br />

as products are in reality not produced (e.g. waste, metals scrap etc.).<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1<br />

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2 3<br />

3<br />

1981 1990<br />

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4<br />

5 6<br />

5 6<br />

7 8 9<br />

1981 1990<br />

7 8 9<br />

10 11<br />

10 11<br />

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27<br />

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 16 18 20 22 27<br />

Having found the goods transported, a distribution on different<br />

modes and means (sizes of vehicles, own and haulage transport) is<br />

determined.<br />

To calculate the traffic per<strong>for</strong>mance two additional types of in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

are needed. These are the average loads on a trip and the average<br />

length of a trip. A multiplication of these factors with the number of<br />

tonnes lifted leads to the vehicle kilometres. We use the vehicle kilometres<br />

instead of the often seen tonne kilometres, because the latter<br />

figure is an artificial figure, which cannot be observed directly as opposed<br />

to the vehicle kilometres. The tonne kilometres in theory are<br />

calculated as the number of tonnes multiplied by the transport length<br />

per single trip. Using the statistics on the freight transport aggregate<br />

12<br />

13<br />

15<br />

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27<br />

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 16 18 20 22 27<br />

29

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