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Modern Engineering Thermodynamics

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18.7 Introduction to Mathematical Probability 745<br />

The last mathematical concepts needed in our study of probability are those of permutations and combinations.<br />

A specific ordered arrangement of N distinguishable objects is called a permutation. The total number of ways of<br />

making different ordered arrangements of the N objects taken R at a time using no object more than once is<br />

given by<br />

P N R = N!<br />

ðN − RÞ!<br />

(18.35a)<br />

where N! = NðN − 1ÞðN − 2ÞðN − 3Þ … ð3Þð2Þð1Þ is N factorial. Notethatwedefine0!= 1. Thus, the total<br />

number of permutations of N distinct objects taken N at a time is<br />

P N R<br />

= N!/0! = N!<br />

(18.35b)<br />

However, if the objects are allowed to be repeated within an arrangement, then the total number of arrangements<br />

becomes<br />

P N N = NR<br />

(18.35c)<br />

Forexample,thetotalnumberofpermutations(arrangements)ofthetendigits0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,and9<br />

taken three at a time, using no digit more than once, is given by Eq. (18.35a) with N = 10 and R = 3as<br />

ðP3 10 Þ =<br />

10!<br />

using each<br />

ð10 − 3Þ! = 10! =<br />

10 × 9 × 8 × 7!<br />

= 720 arrangements<br />

7! 7!<br />

digit only once<br />

But, if we allow each digit to be used more than once, then Eq. (18.35c) tells us that the number of permutations<br />

increases to<br />

ðP3 10 Þ = 10 3 = 1000 arrangements<br />

using each<br />

digit more than once<br />

However, the total number of permutations (arrangements) of just the three digits 1, 2, and 3, using none of<br />

these digits more than once is given by Eq. (18.35b) as<br />

ðP3 3 Þ = 3! = 3 × 2 × 1 = 6 arrangements<br />

using each<br />

digit only once<br />

(they are 1, 2, 3; 1, 3, 2; 3, 1, 2; 2, 3, 1; 3, 2, 1; and 2, 1, 3), but if we allow these digits to be repeated, the<br />

Eq. (18.35c) shows that the number of permutations increases dramatically to<br />

ðP3 3 Þ = 3 3 = 27 arrangements<br />

using each<br />

digit more than once<br />

We define combinations as the ways of choosing a sample of R objects from a group of N objects without regard<br />

to order within the sample (e.g., the groupings AB and BA are different permutations of A and B, buttheyare<br />

the same combination of A and B). The total number of combinations of N unique objects taken R at a time<br />

without using any object more than once is given by<br />

C N R = PN R<br />

R!<br />

=<br />

N!<br />

ðN − RÞ!R!<br />

(18.36a)<br />

But, if the objects are allowed to be repeated within the sample, then the number of combinations becomes<br />

C N R = PN R<br />

R!<br />

=<br />

ðN + R − 1Þ!<br />

ðN − 1Þ!R!<br />

(18.36b)<br />

For example, we can determine the number of five-card hands that can be dealt out of a standard deck of 52<br />

distinct cards (Table 18.6). Since the order in which the cards are received is not important, the number of combinations<br />

of 52 cards taken 5 at a time is given by Eq. (18.36a) as<br />

ðC 52<br />

5 Þ =<br />

52!<br />

=<br />

52 × 51 × 50 × 49 × 48 × 47!<br />

= 2,598,960 different hands<br />

using each<br />

ð52 − 5Þ!5! 47! × 5!<br />

card only once

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