Annual Performance Plan Jaarlikse ... - National Treasury

Figure 1
Data Source:
1995 – 2005: Annual Survey for Schools (Public Ordinary schools)
2006: CEMIS Current (13 October 2006)
StatsSA: Population 2006 based on 2005 General Household Survey
As a consequence, the anticipated large increase in primary school learners with the concomitant decrease in secondary
school learners is the first service delivery challenge facing the Western Cape in the 2007 school year. The reason for this is
that when the intake/admission policy for Grade 1 learners was enforced in the year 2000, the number of Grade 1 learners
decreased from 87 435 in 1999 to 64 844 in 2000, i.e. a decrease of 22 591 learners. The year 2000 Grade 1 learners will
be entering Grade 8 in 2007. With the relaxing of the intake/admission policy for Grade 1 learners since 2004, the average
intake of Grade 1 learners has been 92 500, which is 28 000 more than in 2000. However, the number of Grade 6 learners
in 2006 is only 74 000, i.e. 8 000 more than for Grade 7 in 2006. The number of learners in Grade 8 for 2006 is 82 471, i.e.
16 000 more than for Grade 7 in 2006. This means that for 2007 the department will have to provide for approximately 16
000 more primary school learners than in 2006. The effect for secondary schools is that on average about 8 000 fewer
learners are expected to enter Grade 8, resulting in a possible total decrease of secondary school learners.
The second challenge facing the WCED is to improve the education levels of the citizens of the Western Cape. While there
has been some improvement in the five-year period 1996 - 2001, large numbers of people have not had access to education
at the level required for dignified participation in the civic, political and economic life of the province. For example, Table 2
below shows that less than a quarter of the Western Cape population has a Senior Certificate.
Table 2: Percentage of population at various levels of schooling 1996 and 2001
Levels of schooling 1996 2001
No schooling 6,3% 5,7%
Some primary 15,0% 15,2%
Only completed primary 8,4% 7,9%
Some secondary 37,2% 36,5%
Grade 12 18,0% 23,4%
Higher 10,1% 11,2%
Source: Statistics South Africa Census 1996 and 2001
Annual Performance Plan 2007/08 – 2009/10
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