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Public Sector Governance and Accountability Series: Budgeting and ...

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96 A. Premch<strong>and</strong><br />

To arrive at such decisions, techniques ranging from straightforward<br />

discounted cash flows to sophisticated technical, economic, financial, social,<br />

institutional, <strong>and</strong> environmental analyses are applied, as discussed in other<br />

chapters. The application of these techniques has been considerably facilitated<br />

by the fact that the institutional lenders who finance capital projects insist on<br />

the completion of these detailed studies as essential first steps leading to the<br />

financing. Periodically someone suggests that the pursuit <strong>and</strong> application of<br />

capital financial planning do not require the existence or operation of a<br />

budget. Although this suggestion is indeed true, one must also recognize that<br />

although the existence of a capital budget facilitates planning, it can also<br />

make such planning an ingrained habit <strong>and</strong> part of overall discipline.<br />

Governments depend on their fiscal machinery to make financial planning<br />

possible, <strong>and</strong> capital budgets facilitate that process. Furthermore, in the<br />

context of preparing medium-term fiscal plans, rolling medium-term<br />

expenditure plans, <strong>and</strong> associated approaches, capital financial planning<br />

becomes not a remote art but a day-to-day practice. Accrual budgeting<br />

facilitates these aspects of planning through its separation of current <strong>and</strong><br />

capital or investment budgets.<br />

The exercise of capital financial planning also provides an opportunity<br />

to focus on other aspects, including risk assessment. Some of the routine<br />

issues that governments face in this regard are identified, in brief, in table 3.2.<br />

Of particular importance is risk assessment—an area that governments take<br />

up in the 13th hour, when the crisis is at the doorstep. Capital financial<br />

planning needs to go beyond the project level, to the sector level, <strong>and</strong><br />

ultimately to the national level to anticipate changes in economic parameters<br />

<strong>and</strong> to internalize them in decision making.<br />

Resource Use<br />

This phase entails the implementation of the capital budget. The steps, as<br />

well as the issues that arise in these steps, are listed in table 3.2. From the st<strong>and</strong>point<br />

of financial discipline, three aspects merit explicit recognition: underfunding,<br />

cost escalation, <strong>and</strong> year-end unspent amounts. Notwithst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

all the care taken in the formulation of financial plans <strong>and</strong> budgets, governments<br />

confront sudden revenue shortfalls during the fiscal year. A typical<br />

response is to underfund projects <strong>and</strong> programs. Yet underfunding is a false<br />

choice, often contributing to considerable cost escalations that later pose<br />

formidable problems for cost recovery. Many an experience also reveals that<br />

the cost of completed projects differs considerably from original estimates,<br />

owing not merely to underfunding but also to a variety of factors

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