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Public Sector Governance and Accountability Series: Budgeting and ...

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134 Alta Fölscher<br />

Conclusion<br />

The introduction of new rules for budget processes <strong>and</strong> methods does not<br />

automatically mean that they will be applied in a meaningful way. Experience<br />

has shown that overcoming deeply entrenched incremental institutions <strong>and</strong><br />

their associated patterns of behavior is an arduous task. Budget systems of<br />

developing countries are littered with the remnants of earlier efforts to<br />

introduce new techniques into the system. The debris of earlier failed<br />

attempts often impedes new reform initiatives, because target audiences are<br />

already familiar both with the terminology used <strong>and</strong> with the likelihood that<br />

no real change either is required or will result. This is no wonder. The effectiveness<br />

of budgeting rules depends on their credibility. Their credibility<br />

depends on several preconditions, including a capable <strong>and</strong> committed<br />

ministry of finance, political support, <strong>and</strong> the presence of complementary<br />

reforms (or at least the absence of competing nonbudget public administrative<br />

reform initiatives).<br />

It is therefore important to underst<strong>and</strong> that budgetary reforms do not<br />

by themselves change the fundamentally political nature of budgeting; they<br />

will not turn the budget process into a controlled, sequenced, <strong>and</strong> rational<br />

process. Budget processes are inevitably messy: the hope in the introduction<br />

of new techniques is not to completely sanitize these processes, but rather to<br />

minimize dysfunction <strong>and</strong> maximize the extent to which rational links are<br />

made between past performance, future objectives, policies, allocation of<br />

resources, <strong>and</strong> future required performance. <strong>Budgeting</strong> practice, as it has<br />

evolved over the past few decades, has sought a balance between the costs of<br />

incremental budgets <strong>and</strong> the improbability of achieving comprehensive,<br />

pure rationality.<br />

Note<br />

1. This section draws on Fölscher <strong>and</strong> Schoch (2005).<br />

References<br />

Campos, Ed, <strong>and</strong> Sanjay Pradhan. 1996. “Budgetary Institutions <strong>and</strong> Expenditure<br />

Outcomes: Binding Governments to Fiscal Performance.” Policy Research Working<br />

Paper 1646, World Bank, Washington, DC.<br />

Dean, Peter N. 1989. Government <strong>Budgeting</strong> in Developing Countries. London: Routledge.<br />

Fölscher, Alta, <strong>and</strong> Michelle Schoch. 2005.“Multi-Year <strong>Budgeting</strong>.”In CABRI 2004 Budget<br />

Reform Seminar: Overview <strong>and</strong> Summary of Discussions. Pretoria: Collaborative<br />

Africa Budget Reform Initiative.

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