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Public Sector Governance and Accountability Series: Budgeting and ...

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266 Salvatore Schiavo-Campo<br />

noted, the budget preparation process needs to be organized along strict<br />

rules so that the budget can be prepared in a timely manner while avoiding<br />

excessive pressure from particular interests <strong>and</strong> lobbies. Participation, like<br />

accountability, is a relative, not absolute, concept.<br />

Preparing expenditure ceilings<br />

In the preparation of sectoral expenditure ceilings, the following elements<br />

must be taken into account:<br />

The macroeconomic objectives <strong>and</strong> fiscal targets<br />

The results of the review of ongoing programs for the sector<br />

The impact of ongoing expenditure programs on the next budget <strong>and</strong><br />

their degree of rigidity (notably expenditures related to continuing commitments,<br />

such as entitlements)<br />

The government’s strategy concerning possible shifts in the intersectoral<br />

distribution of expenditure <strong>and</strong> the amount of resources that<br />

could be allocated to new policies as well as service dem<strong>and</strong> projections,<br />

where appropriate.<br />

Preparing these initial ceilings is largely an incremental-decremental<br />

exercise. Budgets are never prepared from scratch. Debt servicing; multiyear<br />

commitments for investment, pensions, <strong>and</strong> other entitlements; rigidities in<br />

civil service regulations; <strong>and</strong> the simple reality that government cannot stop<br />

at once all funding for its schools, health centers, or the army limit possible<br />

annual shifts to perhaps 5 to 10 percent of total expenditures. In theory, this<br />

percentage could be higher in developing countries than in industrial countries<br />

(where the share of entitlements is higher). But in practice, because of<br />

earlier overcommitments, the room to maneuver is often even lower in<br />

developing countries. If one excludes emergency or crisis situations, the government<br />

should, when preparing the budget, focus on new policies, savings<br />

on questionable programs, <strong>and</strong> means of increasing the efficiency of other<br />

ongoing programs. Clearly, any significant policy shift requires a perspective<br />

longer than one year <strong>and</strong> some advance programming, in whatever form<br />

that is appropriate <strong>and</strong> feasible in the specific country.<br />

Efficiency dividends<br />

In recent years, Australia dem<strong>and</strong>ed from each spending unit efficiency<br />

dividends—that is, required savings in their ongoing activities (about<br />

1.5 percent annually). On the surface, this practice may look like the typical

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