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350 Stephen B. Peterson<br />

Because IT takes a long time to develop, procure, <strong>and</strong> implement, it<br />

allows time to start with changes in financial procedures that can be done<br />

quickly. Procedural reform gets the user requirements right, <strong>and</strong> user<br />

requirements are determining factors in the success of information systems.<br />

A focus on IT as a driver means that more serious institutional issues<br />

are not addressed or can be finessed. Experience from Ethiopia clearly<br />

demonstrates that institutional issues are far more important <strong>and</strong> far harder<br />

to manage than technical issues.<br />

One reason IT is a driver of reform in aid-dependent countries is that IT<br />

is a conditionality of foreign aid agencies because it is presumed to improve<br />

financial management. The high failure rate of IFMISs suggests that IT is not<br />

a route to improve financial management. It is a negative, harmful conditionality<br />

that imposes inappropriate levels of risk on weak financial systems.<br />

The appropriate strategy is to gradually strengthen weak financial systems<br />

through process change, not innovation.<br />

Lesson 3: No Presumptive Reason Exists to Favor an OTS or a<br />

Custom Solution<br />

The conventional wisdom is that an OTS solution is preferable to a custom<br />

solution. Research has not shown this presumption to be the case (see table<br />

10.2). It is not clear whether the OTS characteristics are related to the high<br />

failure rate of IFMISs. As noted previously, large-scale, complex information<br />

systems (whales) are increasingly believed to be more prone to risk than<br />

small-scale, iteratively developed systems (dolphins). In the case of Ethiopia,<br />

the rapidly changing fiscal devolution combined with the adequacy of the<br />

baseline financial systems meant that a customized, iterative automation<br />

strategy was appropriate from the st<strong>and</strong>point of user requirements <strong>and</strong><br />

availability of financial resources.<br />

All large-scale financial information systems involve risk, whether developed<br />

by a customized or an OTS solution. The central question for developing<br />

countries is which approach, in principle, best minimizes risk in a given context.<br />

The Ethiopian case suggests that a custom system was appropriate in that<br />

context. The institutional issues required a flexible approach, <strong>and</strong> custom systems,<br />

by definition, are more flexible. Moreover, a small-scale iterative<br />

approach on the technical side minimizes risk. All told, custom systems are<br />

better in many cases. Research has not related the approach (OTS versus custom)<br />

to the failure of IFMIS. It has been argued that institutional factors far<br />

outweigh technical factors, <strong>and</strong> institutional factors require a flexible approach<br />

to automation. A custom system by definition is small scale in this sense, <strong>and</strong>

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