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Public Sector Governance and Accountability Series: Budgeting and ...

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478 Alta Fölscher<br />

BOX 14.2<br />

The IP-ERS, MPERs, <strong>and</strong> the MTEF<br />

In 2003, the government of Kenya published the IP-ERS, the Investment<br />

Programme for the Economic Recovery Strategy for Wealth <strong>and</strong> Employment<br />

Creation. The IP-ERS identified a set of development priorities <strong>and</strong> strategies<br />

for short- <strong>and</strong> medium-term implementation toward achieving the three key<br />

pillars of (a) restoring economic growth, (b) promoting equity <strong>and</strong> poverty<br />

reduction, <strong>and</strong> (c) ensuring good governance. The IP-ERS, therefore, defines<br />

the government spending priorities in the medium term to be implemented<br />

through the MTEF.<br />

In 2005, the government published a monitoring <strong>and</strong> evaluation framework<br />

for the IP-ERS that suggests 31 indicators <strong>and</strong> targets. In future years, the<br />

MPERs will play an important role in tracking the achievement of these targets.<br />

Following are examples of indicators <strong>and</strong> targets:<br />

Reducing the portion of the road network that is in poor condition by 23<br />

percent by 2007 (Ministry of Roads <strong>and</strong> <strong>Public</strong> Works)<br />

Increasing power coverage in rural areas by 1 percent per year (Ministry<br />

of Energy)<br />

Increasing the growth of volume of exports to 5.7 percent through an<br />

export development strategy <strong>and</strong> improved business environment (Ministry<br />

of Trade <strong>and</strong> Industry)<br />

Reducing the infant mortality rate <strong>and</strong> under-five mortality, reducing<br />

HIV/AIDS prevalence to 8 percent in 2008, reducing maternal mortality,<br />

<strong>and</strong> reducing the burden of disease—for example, in-patient malaria<br />

morbidity to 7 percent in 2007 (Ministry of Health)<br />

Achieving 100 percent net primary enrollment, reducing primary dropout<br />

rates, reducing primary repetition, <strong>and</strong> increasing the transition rate to<br />

secondary school (Ministry of Education)<br />

Raising incomes in the agricultural sector <strong>and</strong> increasing the sectoral<br />

growth by 5 percent in 2007 (Ministry of Agriculture).<br />

The introduction of an IP-ERS monitoring <strong>and</strong> evaluation framework<br />

<strong>and</strong> of priority programs holds potential for bringing a vital missing part to<br />

Kenya’s public expenditure management processes. Despite improvements<br />

since 1999 in budget preparation <strong>and</strong> execution, the disconnect between<br />

(a) priority setting <strong>and</strong> (b) planning <strong>and</strong> budgeting is still a concern. Significant<br />

reallocations to higher-priority sectors <strong>and</strong> programs are not occurring, <strong>and</strong><br />

even where they do, they do not necessarily filter through to actual expenditure<br />

patterns. The introduction of a monitoring <strong>and</strong> evaluation framework<br />

linked to budgeting may provide the motivation to shift resources, but only<br />

if the political will exists to hold ministries—both at the political <strong>and</strong> official<br />

levels—accountable for delivering the specific outcomes.<br />

Source: Republic of Kenya 2005.

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