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LIVE POLIO IRUS VACCINES

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520<br />

Efficacy-Field Evidence<br />

thing we could have done which resulted from<br />

findings of our own research.<br />

I do not, of course, feel justified to generalize.<br />

The results and the decisions are based on our<br />

actual investigations, making use of long-term<br />

experience, and results of systematic field surveys<br />

in which many specialists from different<br />

branches participated. The purpose was to demonstrate<br />

the methods we have used. And we<br />

feel that these might have a more general validity,<br />

though the final results may obviously differ<br />

in different countries.<br />

Within the last few hours I have tried to<br />

sketch some simplified schedules applicable to<br />

situations which could be found when using this<br />

method of investigation (Fig. 7). The figure<br />

logical point of view, these situations are very<br />

dangerous and the epidemiological prognosis<br />

of these countries, or parts thereof, is unclear.<br />

Example No. 3 shows the typical situation<br />

which can be found immediately after feeding<br />

of attenuated vaccine: an extraordinary high<br />

spread of viruses and low or no polio morbidity.<br />

The last example is quite atypical. It shows<br />

low spread of polioviruses and a high number<br />

of paralytic diseases. Theoretically, two explanations<br />

can be taken into consideration: either<br />

incorrect sampling was carried out, or the<br />

recorded cases are not poliomyelitis.<br />

It is quite evident that an analogous situation<br />

with different consequences may exist under<br />

different conditions. This, however, is not the<br />

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