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Download - LSE Theses Online - London School of Economics and ...

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Brazil’s military capabilities are growing more potent. So too are other states <strong>of</strong>South America, including Argentina <strong>and</strong> Chile, improving their armed forces. Thisproliferation <strong>of</strong> military power throughout the region tends to <strong>of</strong>fset Brazil’semergence by building a new regional balance <strong>of</strong> power around military deterrencerather than Brazilian pre-eminence. Greater autonomy <strong>of</strong> all regional actors tendsto result, which is reinforced by the decline in the traditional U.S. hegemonical (sic)role. 501More than two decades later, Brazil has continued to capitalise on its continentalscale <strong>and</strong> expansive domestic market to be not only the largest economy by somedistance in Latin America, but also one <strong>of</strong> the top ten economies worldwide. In2008, Brazil boasted a GDP <strong>of</strong> USD1.5 trillion. 502 This dwarfed that <strong>of</strong> itsneighbours (see Table 3 below). However, it is in the diplomatic arena that the mostsignificant shifts in the balance <strong>of</strong> power have occurred. The primary ‘objective’threats facing Brazil in the security sphere, during Cardoso’s presidency, as in Lula’s,were those posed by transnational movements <strong>of</strong> people, drugs <strong>and</strong> small arms <strong>and</strong>light weapons. In the meantime, Brazil has also found itself, as a consequence <strong>of</strong> thePT presidential election victories <strong>of</strong> 2002 <strong>and</strong> 2006, at the centre <strong>of</strong> an ideologicalbattle for the left <strong>of</strong> regional <strong>and</strong> hemispheric dimensions. 503The rise <strong>of</strong> Hugo Chavez’s ambitions for a Bolívarian revolution in Latin Americahas set the Brazilian cat among the populist left pigeons <strong>of</strong> Venezuela, Bolivia <strong>and</strong>Ecuador. This ‘battle’ acquired further significance with the rising tensions betweenUS-backed Colombia <strong>and</strong> Venezuela in 2009-10.Thus Cardoso’s approach to foreign policy was clearly more conservative, <strong>and</strong>respectful <strong>of</strong> US hegemony in international affairs. Indeed, the first task <strong>of</strong>diplomacy was seen as being “primarily didactic in nature”, educating national actorsabout globalization <strong>and</strong> facilitating its acceptance as an international (<strong>and</strong> domestic)‘reality’. 504 Indeed, Hurrell has suggested that in terms <strong>of</strong> his view <strong>of</strong> the impact <strong>of</strong>globalisation, Cardoso should be classed a ‘hyperglobalist’: the pressures on states to501 Ibid., 192.502 World Bank. 2011. World Development Indicators.503 See Sean Burges, “Building a global southern coalition: the competing approaches <strong>of</strong>Brazil’s Lula <strong>and</strong> Venezuela’s Chávez”, Third World Quarterly, 28, Issue 7 (2007).504 Lessa et al., “Politica externa planejada”, 93.206

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