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Download - LSE Theses Online - London School of Economics and ...

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legislature, nor from the parliamentary opposition, but from within the governingtripartite alliance. Perceptions <strong>of</strong> state power varied depending on the issue at stake.State power appeared less unassailable on matters closer to home, <strong>and</strong> which poseda threat to the unity <strong>of</strong> the ANC <strong>and</strong> the tripartite alliance, prompting foreign policydecision-making that shied away from conflict <strong>and</strong> the potential use <strong>of</strong> force.Further afield, the South African government under Mbeki, gave full vent to itsAfricanist <strong>and</strong> anti-imperialist impulses, even going as far as to agree to despatch aconsignment <strong>of</strong> arms to Haiti, <strong>and</strong> to recognise Western Sahara, potentiallyhastening the break-up <strong>of</strong> a fellow-African state, Morocco.One <strong>of</strong> the central contentions <strong>of</strong> this thesis is that benign, or ideological asopposed to material perceptions <strong>of</strong> threat to the nation entertained by the AfricanNational Congress as South Africa’s governing party, as well as its various leaders,particularly Thabo Mbeki, prevented the ANC from acting in more expansive wayswith respect to enlarging South Africa’s international engagement, <strong>and</strong> also militatedagainst the country’s selection <strong>of</strong> aggressive means for the pursuit <strong>of</strong> itsinternational goals. This was a function <strong>of</strong> two processes: the centralisation <strong>of</strong> keydecision-making capacities in the <strong>of</strong>fice <strong>of</strong> the President; <strong>and</strong>, the mountinguncertainty over the legitimating power <strong>of</strong> the ANC in South African society.On the one h<strong>and</strong>, decision-making power was progressively centralised underThabo Mbeki, particularly in the Presidency. On the other, the ANC’s legitimatingpower – the ability to justify significant policy decisions - came increasingly intoquestion, <strong>and</strong>, indeed declined, as its economic policies fell foul <strong>of</strong> traditional allies<strong>and</strong> constituencies. The latter had therefore to be periodically assured that the ANCremained a natural ideological <strong>and</strong> political partner. Foreign policy was used for thispurpose.Classical realism predicts that as national power increases, a state will exp<strong>and</strong> itsinternational engagements. South African foreign policy complied with thisprediction, but not in the manner predicted by realist theory, as it limited aggressiveprojections <strong>of</strong> national power. Compared to Mbeki’s first term, during which heassembled the instruments <strong>of</strong> state power after the formative M<strong>and</strong>ela years, hissecond term was more decisive in terms <strong>of</strong> allocating resources to foreign policy.285

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