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Download - LSE Theses Online - London School of Economics and ...

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falls short <strong>of</strong> capturing the full gamut <strong>of</strong> motivations <strong>of</strong> the behaviour <strong>of</strong> thesestates. While the exclusive focus on multilateralism as a ‘force multiplier’ in theforeign policies <strong>of</strong> emerging states is a compelling liberal account <strong>of</strong> their conduct,the limits <strong>of</strong> the diffusion <strong>of</strong> liberal values become apparent when intermediatestates use international organisations to prevent actions or resolutions that may beprejudicial to their allies or trading partners. An example <strong>of</strong> the latter is the failure <strong>of</strong>both South Africa <strong>and</strong> Brazil to censure Cuba in the UN’s Human Rights Council.8.3. Future directions: South AfricaIn utilising the relationship between resources <strong>and</strong> the ends to which they are put asan analytical framework, it appears that South Africa is severely constrained by itsdomestic capacity problems. It is not sufficient that the ruling party, the AfricanNational Congress, dominates the state. Ultimately the fruition <strong>of</strong> its foreign policyplans depends heavily on the material resources (national power) <strong>and</strong> theirconversion into state power. Thus, South Africa appears to be set for a prolongedperiod <strong>of</strong> internationalism based on rhetoric, notwithst<strong>and</strong>ing – or even underlinedby - its recent inclusion with other emerging economies within the BRICgrouping. 711The departure <strong>of</strong> a significant source <strong>of</strong> ideational power for South African foreignpolicy, former President Thabo Mbeki, will also act as a restraint on adventurism.By the same token, it may potentially have provided the opportunity for adecentralisation <strong>of</strong> foreign policy, though this development is not to be taken forgranted. There is also the question <strong>of</strong> whom policy has been decentralised to: thestate bureaucracy, the party elite, or faceless presidential advisers? There is anincreasing trend toward uniformity <strong>of</strong> political conviction (or the pretense <strong>of</strong> such)in the current administration <strong>of</strong> President Jacob Zuma, while a clear <strong>and</strong> coherentforeign policy outlook is struggling to emerge. The parliamentary opposition isbecoming increasingly meticulous in its oversight <strong>of</strong> foreign policy decisions, butthis still does not appear to be a significant source <strong>of</strong> policy opposition for the ANCgovernment. While the highly controversial <strong>and</strong> costly – not only in economic terms711 South Africa’s GDP at the end <strong>of</strong> 2009, a year before being invited to join BRIC, was$285.3bn, while Brazil’s stood at $1.57tn, Russia’s at $1.23tn, India’s at $1.31tn, <strong>and</strong>China’s at $4.99tn. Source: World Bank Data.292

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