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LCA Food 2012 in Saint Malo, France! - Manifestations et colloques ...

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PARALLEL SESSION 2B: EMISSIONS MODELLING 8 th Int. Conference on <strong>LCA</strong> <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Sector, 1-4 Oct <strong>2012</strong><br />

because of that milk and will have the same GHGE per kg milk. There are three options: 1) larger animal 2)<br />

same size of animal giv<strong>in</strong>g more milk but eat<strong>in</strong>g more food for that milk 3) same size of animal giv<strong>in</strong>g more<br />

milk and eat<strong>in</strong>g no more food. Increased annual milk output should also not be confused with yield per lactation,<br />

which can be <strong>in</strong>creased by hav<strong>in</strong>g a longer calv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terval. Similarly improv<strong>in</strong>g feed conversion<br />

ratio (FCR) – def<strong>in</strong>ed as kg feed (at constant dry matter) per kg weight ga<strong>in</strong>, milk or eggs (at constant dry<br />

matter) – makes more efficient use of resources. Increased daily live weight ga<strong>in</strong> and lower age at slaughter<br />

may save resources but an animal that is simply larger may achieve a greater daily live weight ga<strong>in</strong> but consume<br />

pro-rata more feed with no improvement <strong>in</strong> its feed conversion ratio. The analysis presented here does<br />

not dist<strong>in</strong>guish b<strong>et</strong>ween m<strong>et</strong>hods to improve FCR. In some cases, di<strong>et</strong> re-formulations may improve FCR but<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease the environmental burdens of feed production and not reduce GHGE.<br />

Table 5. Estimated GHGE for typical and alternative livestock systems<br />

Sector Typical system<br />

GHGE from alternative<br />

system<br />

kg CO2e per<br />

kg<br />

product<br />

kg CO2e per<br />

1<br />

MJ edible kg edible<br />

energy prote<strong>in</strong><br />

Best alternative system kg product 1 % Redn<br />

Milk 1.0 0.4 30.6 Autumn-calv<strong>in</strong>g cows, housed 190 days/year. 8000 litres per<br />

year, 7 lactations per cow. 15% crude prote<strong>in</strong> housed di<strong>et</strong> based<br />

on maize silage.<br />

0.89 12<br />

Dairy 8.5 1.0 49.5 Lower prote<strong>in</strong> and lower forage di<strong>et</strong>, housed throughout life- 7.95 7<br />

beef<br />

time.<br />

Suckler 15.9 1.9 90.0 Extended graz<strong>in</strong>g. Spr<strong>in</strong>g calv<strong>in</strong>g. High gen<strong>et</strong>ic merit cow for 14.1 12<br />

beef<br />

fertility and calf growth.<br />

Sheep 14.6 1.6 69.3 Extensive. Ewes of high gen<strong>et</strong>ic merit for fecundity and longev- 11.5 21<br />

meat<br />

ity. No hous<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Pig meat 4.0 0.7 19.7 High fertility and pigl<strong>et</strong> growth. Sows and weaners outdoors.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>doors on slurry system, applied slurry immediately<br />

<strong>in</strong>corporated <strong>in</strong>to land.<br />

3.49 14<br />

Poultry 2.7 0.3 14.2 Housed. Immediate <strong>in</strong>corporation of applied manure <strong>in</strong>to land. 2.54 7<br />

meat<br />

FCR as for top 10% of sector.<br />

Eggs 3.0 0.5 23.2 Housed, slurry, under-floor dry<strong>in</strong>g of manure, cover<strong>in</strong>g of manure<br />

store, Immediate <strong>in</strong>corporation of applied manure <strong>in</strong>to land.<br />

FCR as for top 10% of sector.<br />

2.57 13<br />

1<br />

Whole milk and eggs, bone-<strong>in</strong> carcase weight<br />

The potential reductions <strong>in</strong> GHGE range from 7% for dairy beef and poultry meat to 21% for sheep meat.<br />

The major factors affect<strong>in</strong>g GHGE per unit of milk are annual yield per cow, longevity and reduced prote<strong>in</strong><br />

di<strong>et</strong>s. The best alternative milk production system is longevity at 7 lactations per cow rather the current average<br />

of 3.2 lactations per cow. The best alternative beef production system uses calves from the dairy herd.<br />

The use of sexed semen <strong>in</strong> dairy herds was exam<strong>in</strong>ed as a possible option. There was little effect on the total<br />

number of male and female dairy-bred calves available for beef. The scope for reduc<strong>in</strong>g GHGE from suckler<br />

beef systems is limited by the relatively low output of beef per breed<strong>in</strong>g female per year. However, suckler<br />

beef herds make use of grassland that is not good enough for milk production or arable cropp<strong>in</strong>g (Wilk<strong>in</strong>son,<br />

2011). Overall feed conversion ratio is substantially poorer than that of the monogastric livestock systems.<br />

The best alternative suckler system comprises spr<strong>in</strong>g-calv<strong>in</strong>g suckler cows with extended graz<strong>in</strong>g (i.e. m<strong>in</strong>imal<br />

hous<strong>in</strong>g) to m<strong>in</strong>imise N2O emissions from farmyard manure. The best alternative pig production system<br />

comprised sows of high gen<strong>et</strong>ic merit for fertility and pigl<strong>et</strong> growth, sows and weaners kept outdoors and<br />

<strong>in</strong>door f<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g system with manure as slurry. Greater emissions of N2O from the outdoor system are more<br />

than offs<strong>et</strong> by the reduction <strong>in</strong> m<strong>et</strong>hane which would otherwise be produced from stored manure or slurry.<br />

There is, however, an <strong>in</strong>creased risk of nitrate leach<strong>in</strong>g from the outdoor system compared to fully-housed<br />

systems. Poultry production is relatively efficient compared to other livestock sectors, and there was relatively<br />

little scope for reductions <strong>in</strong> GHGE. The best alternative system of poultry meat production is <strong>in</strong>doorhoused<br />

as is the case with egg production, which conflicts with modern welfare preferences.<br />

Criteria other than GHGE need to be taken <strong>in</strong>to account <strong>in</strong> d<strong>et</strong>erm<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the best options. Half of the cropp<strong>in</strong>g<br />

options reduce national production of the commodities, which conflicts with the requirement not to<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease imports. Apart from the country’s food security, <strong>in</strong>creased imports affect global agriculture and<br />

carry the risk of <strong>in</strong>creased deforestation with consequent severe <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> GHG emissions. No-till <strong>in</strong>creases<br />

pesticide use. Whilst decreas<strong>in</strong>g nitrogen fertiliser reduces nitrate leach<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong>creased yields from<br />

crop breed<strong>in</strong>g had negligible effect on nitrate leach<strong>in</strong>g even though the model requires that nitrogen <strong>in</strong>put is<br />

165

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