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LCA Food 2012 in Saint Malo, France! - Manifestations et colloques ...

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KEYNOTE SESSION 8 th Int. Conference on <strong>LCA</strong> <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Sector, 1-4 Oct <strong>2012</strong><br />

(QB). A significant QB <strong>in</strong>dicates that there are differences <strong>in</strong> the effect sizes b<strong>et</strong>ween different classes of a<br />

categorical variable (Rosenberg <strong>et</strong> al., 2000). All statistical analyses were carried out <strong>in</strong> M<strong>et</strong>aW<strong>in</strong> 2.0<br />

(Rosenberg <strong>et</strong> al., 2000). For representation <strong>in</strong> graphs effect sizes were backtransformed to response ratios.<br />

3. Results<br />

The overall organic-to-conventional yield ratio is 0.75 (with a 95% CI of 0.71 to 0.79), mean<strong>in</strong>g that<br />

across the 316 yield comparisons organic yields are 25% lower than conventional yields (Fig. 1a). This result<br />

only changes slightly (yield ratio of 0.74) if the analysis is limited to studies follow<strong>in</strong>g high scientific quality<br />

standards (Fig. 2).<br />

Figure 1. Influence of different crop types (a), plant types (b) and crop species (c) on organic-to-conventional<br />

yield ratios. Only those crop types and crop species are shown that were represented by at least 10 observations<br />

and 2 different studies. Values are effect sizes with 95% CIs. A significant response is when the CI<br />

does not overlap 1. The number of yield observations <strong>in</strong> each class is shown <strong>in</strong> parentheses. The dotted l<strong>in</strong>e<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicates the cumulative effect size across all classes.<br />

The performance of organic systems varies substantially across crop types and species (Fig. 1a-c). Only<br />

categories with a significant QB are presented <strong>in</strong> Figures. Organic yields of fruits and oilseed crops show a<br />

small, but not statistically significant, difference to conventional crops (their CI overlap zero), whereas organic<br />

cereals and veg<strong>et</strong>ables have significantly lower yields (-26% and -33% respectively) (Fig. 1a). These<br />

differences seem to be related to the b<strong>et</strong>ter organic performance (referr<strong>in</strong>g to the relative yield of organic to<br />

conventional systems) of perennial over annual crops and of legumes over non-legumes (Fig. 1b). Marked<br />

differences can, however, also be observed b<strong>et</strong>ween crop species of the same crop type -- maize outperforms<br />

wheat and barley yields under organic management (Fig. 1c).<br />

Part of the yield response can be expla<strong>in</strong>ed by differences <strong>in</strong> the amount of nitrogen (N) <strong>in</strong>put received by<br />

the two systems (Fig. 3a). When organic systems receive higher quantities of N than conventional systems,<br />

organic performance improves, whereas conventional systems do not benefit from more N. In other words,<br />

organic systems appear to be N limited, whereas conventional systems are not. To achieve yields that are<br />

comparable to conventional systems, organic agriculture thus appears to require higher N <strong>in</strong>puts. This could<br />

be due to organic N <strong>in</strong>puts be<strong>in</strong>g less readily available to plants. Even if the total amount of N <strong>in</strong> soils managed<br />

with organic or conventional m<strong>et</strong>hods do not differ, the composition of the N pools often do (Stockdale<br />

<strong>et</strong> al., 2002). Soils under organic management often have high organic matter and organic N pools but low<br />

m<strong>in</strong>eral N content (Stockdale <strong>et</strong> al., 2002). The release of plant-available m<strong>in</strong>eral N from these organic pools<br />

is slow and does often not keep up with the high crop N demand dur<strong>in</strong>g the peak grow<strong>in</strong>g period (Berry <strong>et</strong><br />

al., 2002; Pang and L<strong>et</strong>ey 2000). Nitrogen availability has thus been found to be a major yield-limit<strong>in</strong>g factor<br />

<strong>in</strong> many organic systems (Berry <strong>et</strong> al., 2002; Clark <strong>et</strong> al., 1999).<br />

32<br />

a<br />

Crop type<br />

0.6 0.8 1 1.2<br />

Organic:conventional yield ratio<br />

All crops (316)<br />

Fruits (14)<br />

Oilseed crops (28)<br />

Cereals (161)<br />

Veg<strong>et</strong>ables (82)<br />

b<br />

Plant type<br />

0.6 0.8 1 1.2<br />

Organic:conventional yield ratio<br />

Legumes (34)<br />

Non-legumes (282)<br />

Perennials (25)<br />

Annuals (291)<br />

c<br />

Crop species<br />

0.6 0.8 1 1.2<br />

Organic:conventional yield ratio<br />

Maize (74)<br />

Barley (19)<br />

Wheat (53)<br />

Tomato (35)<br />

Soybean (25)

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