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LCA Food 2012 in Saint Malo, France! - Manifestations et colloques ...

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PARALLEL SESSION 2C: QUANTIFICATION AND REDUCTION OF UNCERTAINTY 8 th Int. Conference on <strong>LCA</strong> <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Sector, 1-4 Oct <strong>2012</strong><br />

188<br />

Assess<strong>in</strong>g the optimum level of d<strong>et</strong>ail for secondary GHG emissions<br />

databases<br />

Ricardo Teixeira *<br />

Bluehorse Associates, 12 rue Soyer, 92200 Neuilly-sur-Se<strong>in</strong>e, <strong>France</strong><br />

E-mail: ricardo.teixeira@bluehorseassociates.com<br />

ABSTRACT<br />

Life Cycle Assessment (<strong>LCA</strong>) is a prohibitive <strong>in</strong>itiative for companies with a high number of products because <strong>LCA</strong> can prove to be<br />

time- and resource-<strong>in</strong>tensive. The <strong>LCA</strong> process can possibly be rendered less overwhelm<strong>in</strong>g for companies by simplify<strong>in</strong>g the datas<strong>et</strong>s<br />

by us<strong>in</strong>g “emission factors” <strong>in</strong>stead of <strong>in</strong>ventories. In this paper, we test if simplified data (emission factors measured <strong>in</strong> kg CO2e<br />

per kg of product) can provide statistically solid results <strong>in</strong> <strong>LCA</strong> studies <strong>in</strong> the agri-food sector. We build a l<strong>in</strong>ear statistical model to<br />

cluster agri-food records with similar average CO2e emissions.<br />

Prelim<strong>in</strong>ary results show that it is possible to obta<strong>in</strong> what we call “magic numbers” - statistically significant average CO2e emission<br />

factors for product clusters for certa<strong>in</strong> classes of products. Data clustered <strong>in</strong> high-level groups (e.g. butter) has high variance; but<br />

lower-level cluster<strong>in</strong>g (e.g. butter with herbs and butter without herbs) results <strong>in</strong> statistically significant “average” emissions.<br />

Keywords: Life Cycle Assessment, database management, simplified <strong>LCA</strong>, agri-food sector, carbon footpr<strong>in</strong>t<br />

1. Introduction<br />

The past years have seen Life Cycle Assessment (<strong>LCA</strong>) mov<strong>in</strong>g away from academic studies and be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

implemented <strong>in</strong>to companies’ daily operations such as research and development. Product labell<strong>in</strong>g us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>LCA</strong> is be<strong>in</strong>g implemented on a larger scale. Private <strong>in</strong>itiatives by r<strong>et</strong>ailers like Tesco (Clare and Little,<br />

2011) and the French government pilot (ADEME, 2011) are signs of this evolution, which has created the<br />

demand for <strong>LCA</strong> tools capable of provid<strong>in</strong>g results for a large volume of products. Tesco found that complex<br />

m<strong>et</strong>hods, or even traditional <strong>LCA</strong>, may be too time- and resource-<strong>in</strong>tensive, thus the reason they term<strong>in</strong>ated<br />

the <strong>in</strong>itiative to label each product us<strong>in</strong>g traditional <strong>LCA</strong> m<strong>et</strong>hods. To overcome this barrier, a more practical,<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess-oriented side to <strong>LCA</strong> is required to simplify without compromis<strong>in</strong>g accuracy. Furthermore, for<br />

objectives such as g<strong>et</strong>t<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>-depth knowledge on the supply cha<strong>in</strong>, estimates based on full <strong>LCA</strong> m<strong>et</strong>hods<br />

may not provide the appropriate level of d<strong>et</strong>ail. There is a difference b<strong>et</strong>ween accuracy (calculat<strong>in</strong>g the right<br />

number) and precision (many decimal places).<br />

Given the needs of larger scaled agri-food companies this begs the question: How far simplification can<br />

go <strong>in</strong> <strong>LCA</strong> tools? On the tool <strong>in</strong>terface and outputs side, there is virtually no ceil<strong>in</strong>g to how user-friendly<br />

tools that can be built. On the m<strong>et</strong>hodological side, the debate is on-go<strong>in</strong>g. On the database side, however,<br />

there is an understand<strong>in</strong>g that precision is needed - data must be specific and primary. The recurr<strong>in</strong>g fear of<br />

“garbage <strong>in</strong>, garbage out” has overshot the quality standards for primary data. ISO 14040 (ISO 1997) recommends<br />

the use of emissions-base unit processes so that every record <strong>in</strong> the database is a life cycle with<br />

traceable <strong>in</strong>puts and outputs. ISO-compliant tools, commonly known as “full <strong>LCA</strong>” tools, dom<strong>in</strong>ate the mark<strong>et</strong><br />

while us<strong>in</strong>g this pr<strong>in</strong>ciple. A survey done on <strong>LCA</strong> practitioners <strong>in</strong> the agri-food sector last year revealed<br />

that the most commonly used tools are still “full <strong>LCA</strong>” tools such as SimaPro by PRe Consultants and Gabi<br />

by PE International (Cooper and Fava, 2006; Teixeira and Pax, 2011).<br />

Lately, the makers of simplified tools have been try<strong>in</strong>g to educate the mark<strong>et</strong> on another approach. One of<br />

the strategies used is referr<strong>in</strong>g to built-<strong>in</strong> databases with emissions for pre-recorded life cycles (Weitz <strong>et</strong> al.,<br />

1996; Graedel, 1998). Instead of giv<strong>in</strong>g users the possibility of rebuild<strong>in</strong>g a life cycle for a product (e.g, butter<br />

– see below for more on this example), the database comprises pre-established life cycle impact assessment<br />

(LCIA) results. Users choose the most appropriate one for their case (e.g, choose b<strong>et</strong>ween CO2e emissions<br />

for conventionally produced simple butter <strong>in</strong> the N<strong>et</strong>herlands and for organic herb butter <strong>in</strong> Switzerland).<br />

Graedel (1998, cit. <strong>in</strong> Lifs<strong>et</strong>, 2006) argued that simplified <strong>LCA</strong> can provide around 80% of the f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

from full <strong>LCA</strong>. To this day, however, a study is needed to justify the impact of simplified procedures <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al<br />

<strong>LCA</strong> results and confirm or refute Graedel (1998). A true test cannot consist of runn<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>LCA</strong> for one<br />

product us<strong>in</strong>g both simplified and full <strong>LCA</strong> procedures because this is always case specific and no general<br />

conclusions can be drawn. In particular cases great differences may occur, but what matters is if on average,<br />

for a large number of <strong>LCA</strong>s, the simplified m<strong>et</strong>hodology yields high variability or an <strong>in</strong>herent bias on results;<br />

therefore an alternative m<strong>et</strong>hod must be found.<br />

In this paper we propose an alternative approach to test the hypothesis that simplified data can still provide<br />

accurate, statistically solid results <strong>in</strong> <strong>LCA</strong> studies.

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