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LCA Food 2012 in Saint Malo, France! - Manifestations et colloques ...

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PARALLEL SESSION 6B: FISHIERIES, SOIL, AND EMERGY METHODS 8 th Int. Conference on <strong>LCA</strong> <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Sector, 1-4 Oct <strong>2012</strong><br />

In a sensitivity analysis the time perspective was tested and characterisation factors (CF) generated up to 500<br />

projection years. With longer time span (T) used for projections, the higher were badly managed stocks are<br />

relatively contribut<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> WPY and the higher the average WPY became for all stocks. Most stocks stabilise<br />

asymptotically with T approach<strong>in</strong>g large values. Exceptions are heavily exploited stocks which <strong>in</strong>stead <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

rapidly but asymptotically approached a constant <strong>in</strong>crease rate. However with a longer projections<br />

(typically >100years) it is unrealistic that a constant fish<strong>in</strong>g mortality could be susta<strong>in</strong>ed, unlikely that the<br />

reference values would still be updated, and cause large error propagations. With a too short T, restoration of<br />

overexploited stocks will not be the optimal scenario and <strong>in</strong>stead favoured by the (unwanted) scenario of<br />

“kill<strong>in</strong>g all fish one year, leav<strong>in</strong>g none to the next”. This forces a subjectively chosen T with<strong>in</strong> the projection<br />

range where CFs has not stabilised, which <strong>in</strong>directly becomes a matter of weigh<strong>in</strong>g the importance of heavily<br />

exploited stocks risk of depl<strong>et</strong>ion. For good and bad, the time dependency actually mimics the dilemma of<br />

fishery management; balanc<strong>in</strong>g the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty of future catches aga<strong>in</strong>st short time yields which may jeopardize<br />

the long term revenue. One solution could be to formulate Hierachist, Individualist and Egalitarian<br />

view perspectives by a convenient s<strong>et</strong> of projections.<br />

Decreased model- and <strong>in</strong>put data uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty can be achieved by us<strong>in</strong>g the sub impact categories of Foverfish<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and B-overfishedness. F/FMSY based F-Overfish<strong>in</strong>g is however the best choice based on <strong>in</strong>put<br />

param<strong>et</strong>er uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty s<strong>in</strong>ce the BMSY assessment comes with a broader confidence <strong>in</strong>terval <strong>in</strong> the orig<strong>in</strong>al<br />

assessments, and the temporal variation is smallest for F. Furthermore, susta<strong>in</strong>ability of fishery or biotic resource<br />

depl<strong>et</strong>ion potential will <strong>in</strong>dependent of measurement m<strong>et</strong>hod always have high temporal variation due<br />

to the fluctuat<strong>in</strong>g nature of the stocks, random environmental factors and political decisions <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

exploitation rates. Spatial variation is also substantial with<strong>in</strong> each species group. For database purpose the<br />

stock entries could be aggregated <strong>in</strong>to optimally sized groups that m<strong>in</strong>imize the representation bias, a practical<br />

reason for this is that <strong>in</strong>sufficient traceability legislations often renders it impossible to known the orig<strong>in</strong><br />

of a fish product down to the relevant stock level. However, the undisputable best resolution would be<br />

achieved if the <strong>LCA</strong> practitioner collected stock summary data <strong>in</strong> the same way as other <strong>in</strong>ventory data (F,<br />

SSB and limit values) for the actual stock of concern.<br />

By this m<strong>et</strong>hodology, overfish<strong>in</strong>g can be described as midpo<strong>in</strong>t categories, but relat<strong>in</strong>g to damage of natural<br />

biotic resources lays closest <strong>in</strong> term of future endpo<strong>in</strong>t assessments, s<strong>in</strong>ce Wasted Potential Catch is a mass<br />

unit that could be translated <strong>in</strong>to economical terms and compared with abiotic resource depl<strong>et</strong>ion. Natural<br />

ecosystem damage could be compared <strong>in</strong> terms of prist<strong>in</strong>e state for similar stocks, s<strong>in</strong>ce a Schaeffer model<br />

also <strong>in</strong>dicates the carry<strong>in</strong>g capacity (the unfished population) as 2Bmsy correspond<strong>in</strong>g to natural ecosystem.<br />

However relative importance <strong>in</strong> the ecosystem should then also be <strong>in</strong>cluded for <strong>in</strong>clusion of both mar<strong>in</strong>e and<br />

terrestrial fauna.<br />

6. Conclusion<br />

With the <strong>in</strong>clusion of biological impact categories, <strong>LCA</strong>´s are concluded to be a useful complementary tool<br />

for fisheries managers, seafood <strong>in</strong>dustry or seafood labell<strong>in</strong>g/consumer guides where quantitative overfish<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>dices has been the miss<strong>in</strong>g part of the toolbox. We suggest Wasted Potential Yield and/or F-Overfish<strong>in</strong>g B-<br />

Overfishedness as impact categories depend<strong>in</strong>g on the scope of the study, and conclude them to me<strong>et</strong> demands<br />

of applicability, relevancy and scientific soundness. Without directly address<strong>in</strong>g and quantify<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

biological effects of targ<strong>et</strong> stock, <strong>in</strong>ternationally acknowledged broadly as overfish<strong>in</strong>g, any future seafood<br />

<strong>LCA</strong> could be mis<strong>in</strong>terpr<strong>et</strong>ed or even deliberately misused as a biased proxy for total “environmental” damage.<br />

7. References<br />

Anticamara, J.A., Watson R., Gelchu A., Pauly D. 2011. Global fish<strong>in</strong>g effort (1950–2010): Trends, gaps, and implications. Fisheries<br />

Research 107 (1–3):131-136.<br />

EC 2003. COM(2003) 302 Integrated Product Policy - Build<strong>in</strong>g on Environmental Life-Cycle Th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g. Comisssion of the European<br />

Communities, Brussels.<br />

EC 2006. Implement<strong>in</strong>g susta<strong>in</strong>ability <strong>in</strong> EU fisheries through maximum susta<strong>in</strong>able yield Communication from the Commission to<br />

the Council and the European Parliament. Brussels.<br />

FAO 2008. The sunken billions the economic justification for fisheries reform. World Bank and <strong>Food</strong> and Agriculture Organization,<br />

Wash<strong>in</strong>gton DC.<br />

FAO <strong>2012</strong>. The state of world fisheries and aquaculture (SOFIA). Rome.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>nveden, G., Hauschild M.Z., Ekvall T., Gu<strong>in</strong>ée J., Heijungs R., Hellweg S., Koehler A., Penn<strong>in</strong>gton D., Suh S. 2009. Recent<br />

developments <strong>in</strong> Life Cycle Assessment. Journal of Environmental Management 91 (1):1-21.<br />

Frank, K.T., P<strong>et</strong>rie B., Choi J.S., Legg<strong>et</strong>t W.C. 2005. Trophic Cascades <strong>in</strong> a Formerly Cod-Dom<strong>in</strong>ated Ecosystem. Science 308<br />

(5728):1621-1623.<br />

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