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LCA Food 2012 in Saint Malo, France! - Manifestations et colloques ...

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PLENARY SESSION 2: METHODOLOGICAL CHALLENGES FOR ANIMAL PRODUCTION SYSTEMS8 th Int. Conference on <strong>LCA</strong> <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Agri-<strong>Food</strong> Sector, 1-4 Oct <strong>2012</strong><br />

Table 9. Illustrative description of the livestock ecosystem services l<strong>in</strong>ear programm<strong>in</strong>g model. Columns<br />

represent levels of activities and rows represent constra<strong>in</strong>ts on those activities. For illustration these have<br />

been collapsed <strong>in</strong>to a s<strong>in</strong>gle description (e.g., sheep systems are actually 63 columns, with activities such as<br />

hill, upland and lowland ewes, and organic flocks). Similarly rows have been collapsed <strong>in</strong>to ‘Emissions’,<br />

which <strong>in</strong>cludes rows for <strong>in</strong>dividual emissions such as greenhouse gases, nitrate leach<strong>in</strong>g and pesticides.<br />

212<br />

Sheep systems<br />

Pig systems<br />

Beef systems<br />

Chicken<br />

systems<br />

Egg systems<br />

Dairy systemsArablewell-suitedArablemoderateArablemarg<strong>in</strong>al<br />

Objective (services) = P+R+C<br />

Provision<strong>in</strong>g + + + + + + + + + + = P<br />

Regulat<strong>in</strong>g + = R<br />

Cultural + + + + + + + + + + -ve = C<br />

Constra<strong>in</strong>t<br />

Production 1 1 1 1 1 1 = Demand<br />

Arable land + + + + + + 1 = L<br />

Grassland + + + + + + 1 1 1 1 = L<br />

Hill land + + 1 = L<br />

Emissions + + + + + + + + + -1 = 0<br />

Labour + + + + + + + + + -1 = 0<br />

Intra-system + + + + + + = 0<br />

Inter-system 1 -ve = 0<br />

Land types + + + + + + < L<br />

Notes: + denotes positive coefficients, -ve denotes negative coefficients, +/-1 denotes unit coefficients, L denotes limits/constra<strong>in</strong>ts<br />

on land and soil types<br />

The objective function to be maximised is the sum of the various ecosystem services, which have been<br />

converted to a common mon<strong>et</strong>ary (£) valuation system (P+R+C). This comprises positive mon<strong>et</strong>ary values<br />

for livestock production and arable production, negative values for emissions, and positive values for cultural<br />

services and employment generation (columns, Table 1). Cultural services <strong>in</strong>clude landscape, biodiversity<br />

and recreation benefits services considered jo<strong>in</strong>tly <strong>in</strong> terms of a value of will<strong>in</strong>gness to pay that varies by<br />

land use. In the ma<strong>in</strong> analyses, we consider employment as a benefit and value it as the m<strong>in</strong>imum wage. The<br />

relations b<strong>et</strong>ween activities and constra<strong>in</strong>ts (columns and rows, respectively, Table 1) are def<strong>in</strong>ed by an array<br />

of technical coefficients, show<strong>in</strong>g, for example, farm labour requirements of a tonne of beef or nitrate emissions<br />

generated <strong>in</strong> the production of a tonne of meat on a particular type of land.<br />

The systems-based <strong>LCA</strong> approach also enabled the implications of a range of alternative future scenarios<br />

to be explored, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a 25% reduction <strong>in</strong> livestock production balanced by plant commodities, a shift<br />

from red to white meat and arable substitution of the livestock sector. The model maximises the weighted n<strong>et</strong><br />

benefit of the ecosystems services generated from each of the livestock sectors.<br />

3. Results<br />

Estimates of the value of ecosystem services, classified <strong>in</strong>to provision<strong>in</strong>g, regulat<strong>in</strong>g and cultural services<br />

were first obta<strong>in</strong>ed for the BAU scenario. This <strong>in</strong>volved an allocation of land, both grassland and the arable<br />

area required to provide non-grass feeds, to me<strong>et</strong> current demand for livestock products. The proportional<br />

distribution of grassland and arable land for each 5x5 km square <strong>in</strong> England and Wales was estimated us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

spatially <strong>in</strong>terpolated 2004 Agricultural Census data (Ed<strong>in</strong>e, 2010). These confirm the greater <strong>in</strong>cidence of<br />

grassland and livestock production <strong>in</strong> the northern and western regions, associated with sheep, dairy, and<br />

beef systems, although it is worth not<strong>in</strong>g the significant production of pigs and poultry <strong>in</strong> the eastern part of<br />

England. Grasslands were divided <strong>in</strong>to lowland (

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