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2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide<br />

Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs<br />

Three basic systems of poultry production are identified in Vietnam: family, semi-commercial and<br />

commercial/industrial (A9, A16). An estimated 60-70% of poultry is raised in ‘backyard’ family farms<br />

(sectors 3 and 4) in close proximity to other birds. In fact, some 94% of the poultry keeping households<br />

are <strong>report</strong>ed to fall in the category of a village and scavenging backyard system (A91). Few systems could<br />

be classified as being in sector 1 (industrial farms), and these account for 20-25% of the national<br />

production. The remainder 10-15% of poultry production is carried out by semi-industrial/commercial<br />

farms (sector 2). Poultry is generally sold live in local markets and slaughtered at home, while only a<br />

small number of birds are processed through slaughterhouses.<br />

The relatively low costs of raising poultry relative to cattle or pigs make it the most popular livestock<br />

enterprise in Vietnamese rural households, constituting an important source of cash income – <strong>part</strong>icularly<br />

for women – thus contributing significantly to poverty alleviation. It is estimated that some 70% of<br />

Vietnam’s 12 million rural households keep poultry. Poultry is the most important livestock-based income<br />

source for the poorest quintile, providing about 7% of cash income for these households, as well as being<br />

a relatively inexpensive protein source for their own consumption.<br />

A classification of Vietnam’s socio-economic position in the world, as carried out for the purposes of this<br />

study, can be found in Annex 3.<br />

5.2.1.2. Key AH problem areas<br />

Vietnam was selected as a representative case study in Asia because of the HPAI relevance, both in terms<br />

of the significance of the outbreaks and in terms of the approach followed and the mobilisation of the<br />

international community.<br />

The country suffers from a number of high risk factors with respect to AI. A<strong>part</strong> from having a relatively<br />

high share of sector 3 and 4 poultry systems as discussed above, Vietnam is one of the most densely<br />

populated countries in the region and has one of the highest concentration ratios of poultry (501 chicken<br />

per sq. km, 716 domestic birds per sq. km) <strong>part</strong>icularly in the areas affected by AI (A16). Further risks<br />

arise from farm management practices (close contact with animals and between domestic birds and wild<br />

birds) and along the value chain (<strong>part</strong>icularly live bird markets) (A9). A <strong>final</strong> set of risks, <strong>part</strong>icularly in<br />

the first wave of AI in early 2004, emerged from poor knowledge of the disease and how it spread (though<br />

this is less prevalent now), and from stakeholders’ efforts to circumvent the control measures imposed<br />

(this was not helped by the compensation policy that was first adopted, as will be discussed below) (A3,<br />

A9, A258).<br />

Since the outbreak of the HPAI H5N1 strain in December 2003, in the three waves of the epidemic 106 ,<br />

Vietnam has accumulated by far the largest number of outbreaks in the world (2,368) or 52% of the total<br />

106 According to WHO, the spread of HPAI can be categorised into three waves. The first wave of the disease lasted<br />

from December 2003 until March 2004, when disease spread to 57 of Vietnam’s 64 provinces resulting to 44 million<br />

birds dead/culled (including affected and non-affected birds) and the death of 16 people. The second wave, which<br />

was mainly confined to 17 provinces, began in April 2004 and lasted through November, resulting in the culling of<br />

84,000 poultry (all of which were clinically affected), and claimed four people. A third wave of the disease began in<br />

December 2004, and until mid 2006 about 1.9 million birds had been slaughtered and twenty two people had died.<br />

Civic <strong>Consulting</strong> • <strong>Agra</strong> <strong>CEAS</strong> <strong>Consulting</strong> 104

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