2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs 5.2.1.2. Key AH problem areas................................................................................................................................ 104 5.2.1.3. AH services and institutional structures ..................................................................................................... 106 5.2.2. Cost of prevention and control systems............................................................................................ 107 5.2.3. Costs of outbreaks ............................................................................................................................ 112 5.2.4. Comparison of prevention versus outbreak costs............................................................................. 116 5.3. NIGERIA (AFRICA).................................................................................................................................... 119 5.3.1. Background ...................................................................................................................................... 119 5.3.1.1. Importance of livestock sector to the economy............................................................................................ 119 5.3.1.2. Key AH problem areas................................................................................................................................ 120 5.3.1.3. AH services and institutional structures ..................................................................................................... 120 5.3.2. Cost of prevention and control systems............................................................................................ 122 5.3.3. Costs of outbreaks ............................................................................................................................ 124 5.3.4. Comparison of prevention versus outbreak costs............................................................................. 127 5.4. ROMANIA (EAST EUROPE) ........................................................................................................................ 131 5.4.1. Background ...................................................................................................................................... 131 5.4.1.1. Importance of livestock sector to the economy............................................................................................ 131 5.4.1.2. Key AH problem areas................................................................................................................................ 131 5.4.1.3. AH services and institutional structures ..................................................................................................... 132 5.4.2. Cost of prevention and control systems............................................................................................ 132 5.4.3. Costs of outbreaks ............................................................................................................................ 135 5.4.4. Comparison of prevention versus outbreak costs............................................................................. 136 6. GLOBAL OVERVIEW................................................................................................................................ 139 6.1. OVERALL APPROACH AND OBJECTIVES ..................................................................................................... 139 6.2. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF OUTBREAK COSTS.............................................................................................. 139 6.2.1. Key parameters ................................................................................................................................ 140 6.2.2. Scenarios and assumptions .............................................................................................................. 141 Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting iii
Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs 6.3. ESTIMATES OF OUTBREAK COSTS.............................................................................................................. 142 6.3.1. Direct impact.................................................................................................................................... 142 6.3.2. Indirect impact ................................................................................................................................. 150 6.4. COMPARISON OF PREVENTION COSTS TO OUTBREAK COSTS...................................................................... 155 7. CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................................................................................... 158 REFERENCES.................................................................................................................................................. 161 ANNEXES ......................................................................................................................................................... 187 ANNEX 1: TRANSBOUNDARY ANIMAL DISEASES (TADS): OVERVIEW OF OCCURRENCE AND PREVENTION/CONTROL STRATEGIES FOR MAJOR TADS.............................................................. 188 ANNEX 2: OCCURRENCE OF HPAI/H5N1 AND FMD: CURRENT STATUS ...................................... 194 ANNEX 3: OIE COUNTRY ANALYSIS........................................................................................................ 198 ANNEX 4: PREVENTION AND RESPONSE TO AI: NATIONAL EMERGENCY PLANS AND WB- GPAI/APL PROJECTS.................................................................................................................................... 199 ANNEX 5: GLOBAL OUTBREAK COSTS: SCENARIOS, ASSUMPTIONS AND RESULTS.............. 200 Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting iv
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