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2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide<br />

Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs<br />

4.2.3. Assessments of costs at national (country) level<br />

As indicated in the previous sections, the costs of prevention and control systems depend on the specific<br />

conditions of each county, including the nature of the disease and its prevalence (Annex 1), the current<br />

situation of the VS and preparedness levels (section 4.2.1), and the structure of the sector. All these factors<br />

affect the costs of establishing comprehensive surveillance, implementing controls, and developing<br />

biosecurity. Consequently, these costs need to be defined as much as possible on a country by country<br />

basis.<br />

In the case of HPAI, more detailed assessments of the costs involved at country level are available.<br />

The data on total country needs from the ALIVE needs assessment for Africa indicated in the previous<br />

section (Table 4 and Table 5), are based on estimates of the costs of the animal health component of the<br />

national plans for the prevention and control of HPAI for each of the 54 African countries covered by the<br />

project 76 (A258). These estimates are derived from an analysis of national AHI emergency preparedness<br />

plans, as drafted by most African countries themselves and are therefore derived from the countries’ own<br />

assessment of the situation. It is also noted that the analysis and synthesis of the data by ALIVE has<br />

involved significant work, as the original plans are presented in a different way between countries in most<br />

cases. As indicated in Figure 5, the highest needs at country level were identified by Egypt, Kenya and<br />

Nigeria (accounting respectively for 14%, 12% and 11% of the total needs). This reflects the high risk<br />

perception and the importance attributed by the national governments of these countries to HPAI. The<br />

situation in Nigeria is further assessed in the case study on this country presented in this Report (section<br />

5.3.).<br />

76 Except South Africa and Libya, for which no detailed estimates of the animal health component are available.<br />

Civic <strong>Consulting</strong> • <strong>Agra</strong> <strong>CEAS</strong> <strong>Consulting</strong> 62

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