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2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide<br />

Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs<br />

Figure 17 Overview of estimated direct impacts under the different scenarios, HPAI (i)<br />

Global direct production costs/losses (annual)<br />

18,000,000<br />

16,000,000<br />

14,000,000<br />

12,000,000<br />

'000 US$<br />

10,000,000<br />

8,000,000<br />

6,000,000<br />

4,000,000<br />

2,000,000<br />

0<br />

Impact: scenario 1 (most<br />

likely)<br />

Impact: scenario 2 (low<br />

impact)<br />

Impact: scenario 3 (high<br />

impact)<br />

scenario A (ii) scenario B (iii) scenario C (iv)<br />

Note: Includes animal value losses, culling/disposal and control costs<br />

Global consequential on-farm losses (annual)<br />

45,000,000<br />

40,000,000<br />

35,000,000<br />

30,000,000<br />

'000 US$<br />

25,000,000<br />

20,000,000<br />

15,000,000<br />

10,000,000<br />

5,000,000<br />

0<br />

Impact: scenario 1 (most<br />

likely)<br />

Impact: scenario 2 (low<br />

impact)<br />

Impact: scenario 3 (high<br />

impact)<br />

scenario A (ii) scenario B (iii) scenario C (iv)<br />

Civic <strong>Consulting</strong> • <strong>Agra</strong> <strong>CEAS</strong> <strong>Consulting</strong> 147

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