2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide
Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs, Annex 5
74 Malaysia 185,000 15% 111,000 19,425 8,325 138,750
75 Mali LDC 31,000 18600 3255 1395 23250 15% 18,600 3,255 1,395 23,250
76 Mauritania LDC 4,200 2520 441 189 3150 15% 2,520 441 189 3,150
77 Mauritius 9,800 15% 5,880 1,029 441 7,350
78 Mexico 425,000 15% 255,000 44,625 19,125 318,750
79 Moldova 17,442 15% 10,465 1,831 785 13,082
80 Mongolia 30 15% 18 3 1 23
81 Morocco 137,000 15% 82,200 14,385 6,165 102,750
82 Mozambique LDC 28,000 16800 2940 1260 21000 15% 16,800 2,940 1,260 21,000
83 Myanmar LDC 82,000 49200 8610 3690 61500 15% 49,200 8,610 3,690 61,500
84 Namibia 3,500 15% 2,100 368 158 2,625
85 Nepal LDC 22,790 13674 2392.95 1025.55 17092.5 15% 13,674 2,393 1,026 17,093
86 New Caledonia 600 15% 360 63 27 450
87 Nicaragua 18,000 15% 10,800 1,890 810 13,500
88 Niger LDC 25,000 15000 2625 1125 18750 15% 15,000 2,625 1,125 18,750
89 Nigeria 150,700 15% 90,420 15,824 6,782 113,025
90 Oman 4,200 15% 2,520 441 189 3,150
91 Pakistan 166,000 15% 99,600 17,430 7,470 124,500
92 Panama 14,000 15% 8,400 1,470 630 10,500
93 Paraguay 17,000 15% 10,200 1,785 765 12,750
94 Peru 99,255 15% 59,553 10,422 4,466 74,441
95 Philippines 136,001 15% 81,601 14,280 6,120 102,001
96 Qatar 4,500 15% 2,700 473 203 3,375
97 Romania 87,014 15% 52,208 9,136 3,916 65,261
98 Russia 328,707 15% 197,224 34,514 14,792 246,530
99 Rwanda LDC 2,000 1200 210 90 1500 15% 1,200 210 90 1,500
100 Sao Tome LDC 290 174 30.45 13.05 217.5 15% 174 30 13 218
101 Saudi Arabia 141,000 15% 84,600 14,805 6,345 105,750
102 Senegal LDC 26,959 16175.4 2830.695 1213.155 20219.25 15% 16,175 2,831 1,213 20,219
103 Serbia-Mont 15,221 15% 9,133 1,598 685 11,416
104 Sierra Leone LDC 7,500 4500 787.5 337.5 5625 15% 4,500 788 338 5,625
105 Singapore 2,000 15% 1,200 210 90 1,500
106 Somalia LDC 3,400 2040 357 153 2550 15% 2,040 357 153 2,550
107 South Africa 121,000 15% 72,600 12,705 5,445 90,750
108 Sri Lanka 11,636 15% 6,982 1,222 524 8,727
109 Sudan LDC 37,000 22200 3885 1665 27750 15% 22,200 3,885 1,665 27,750
110 Suriname 3,800 15% 2,280 399 171 2,850
111 Swaziland 3,200 15% 1,920 336 144 2,400
112 Syria 23,795 15% 14,277 2,498 1,071 17,846
113 Taipei China (Taiwan) 15% 0 0 0 0
114 Tajikistan 2,296 15% 1,378 241 103 1,722
115 Tanzania LDC 30,000 18000 3150 1350 22500 15% 18,000 3,150 1,350 22,500
116 Thailand 260,000 15% 156,000 27,300 11,700 195,000
117 Togo LDC 9,000 5400 945 405 6750 15% 5,400 945 405 6,750
118 Trinidad-Tobago 28,200 15% 16,920 2,961 1,269 21,150
119 Tunisia 64,000 15% 38,400 6,720 2,880 48,000
120 Turkey 296,876 15% 178,126 31,172 13,359 222,657
121 Turkmenistan 7,000 15% 4,200 735 315 5,250
122 Uganda LDC 32,600 19560 3423 1467 24450 15% 19,560 3,423 1,467 24,450
123 Ukraine 131,976 15% 79,186 13,857 5,939 98,982
124 UAE 15,000 15% 9,000 1,575 675 11,250
125 Uruguay 14,000 15% 8,400 1,470 630 10,500
126 Uzbekistan 20,540 15% 12,324 2,157 924 15,405
127 Vanuatu LDC 340 204 35.7 15.3 255 15% 204 36 15 255
128 Venezuela 110,000 15% 66,000 11,550 4,950 82,500
129 Vietnam 153,937 15% 92,362 16,163 6,927 115,453
130 Yemen LDC 37,000 22200 3885 1665 27750 15% 22,200 3,885 1,665 27,750
131 Zambia LDC 30,000 18000 3150 1350 22500 15% 18,000 3,150 1,350 22,500
132 Zimbabwe 23,000 15% 13,800 2,415 1,035 17,250
Annual impact
on LDCs
Poultry value
losses for
LDCs
Culling/
Disposal costs
for LDCs
Control costs
for LDCs
Total impact
for LDCs
TOTAL 12,938,767 scenario A 58,080 10,164 4,356 72,600 7,763,260 1,358,571 582,245 9,704,075
scenario B 206,292 36,101 15,472 257,865
scenario C 467,749 81,856 35,081 584,686
Total impact
on LDCs
scenario A 116,160 20,328 8,712 145,200
scenario B 412,584 72,202 30,944 515,730
Notes: scenario C 935,497 163,712 70,162 1,169,372
(i) The 'global' impact is given in a range, depending on 3 scenarios in terms of country coverage (scenarios A to C).
Furthermore, it is indicated per year and in total, depending on the assumptions for duration of the epidemic - see 'assumptions outbreak costs'
Includes animal value losses, culling/disposal and control costs
(ii) Scenario A Includes the following countries: Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Laos, Thailand, Vietnam, S. Korea; Mongolia, Kazakshtan, Russia, Turkey, Romania; Nigeria, Niger, Sudan
(iii) Scenario B includes the countries of Note (b) above plus : N korea, Malaysia, Brunei, Myanmar, Singapore, Philippines; Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka
(iv) Scenario C includes all OIE developing country members (132 countries in total)
(v) Latest data available, source FAOSTAT. Chicken numbers: since 2005 FAOSTAT does not differentiate any more between broilers and layers (double counting between the 2 categories was possible in earlier years).
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