2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs Overall the results clearly demonstrate that the potential costs of an HPAI outbreak are a multiple of the investment required for effective prevention. This suggests that the potential benefit of improved prevention is very substantially higher than the cost of the investment, depending on the underlying scenarios and assumptions. If the effects of a human pandemic are added to the equation, then the economic benefits – beyond avoiding the loss of human lives as such – by far outweigh the costs. Beyond these benefits, there are clear implications in terms of poverty alleviation and food security as the producer costs and losses of an outbreak are disproportionately felt by those most in need: the poorer rural communities of the developing world. These results have implications for policy-making. An important element of animal health prevention policies is the control of risks at source, hence the advantages of improved prevention in exporting developing countries accrue not just to them but also to importing developed countries. Apart from providing solidarity as such in facing crises and assisting the developing world to come out of the poverty deadlock, the potential benefits that can accrue to developed countries from improved disease prevention and preparedness at source in developing countries is a major argument for the mobilisation of funding from the international community. The nature of the potential costs and benefits also determines the rationale and potential extent of involvement of public and private initiatives in mitigating the effects of an outbreak. These issues are explored in Deliverables II and III. Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting 160
Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs References A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 A10 A11 A11a Geering, W.A.; Lubroth, J. (2002). Preparation of Foot-and-Mouth disease contingency plans. Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO). Animal Health Manual 16. FAO, Rome. Ahuja, V.; Redmond, E. (2001). Economic and Policy Issues in Livestock Service Delivery to the Poor. Background paper for the FAO project memorandum “Pro-Poor Livestock Policy Initiative: Fostering the Policy Dialogue in Support of Equitable, Safe and Clean Livestock Farming”. FAO, Rome. Riviere-Cinnamond, A. (2005). Compensation and related financial support policy strategy for Avian Influenza: Emergency recovery and rehabilitation of the poultry sector in Vietnam. FAO Animal Production and Health Working Paper. FAO, Rome. Tambi, E.N.; Maina, O.W.; Mariner, J. 2004 Pan African Program for the Control of Epizootics (PACE) / African Union –Inter African Bureau for Animal Resources (AU- IBAR). Ex-ante economic analysis of animal disease surveillance. OIE Scientific and Technical Review 23 (3). Meltzer, M.I.; Cox, N.J.; Fukuda, K. (1999).Centers. The economic impact of pandemic influenza in the United States: Priorities for Intervention. Emerging Infectious Diseases Volume 5, No 5. Sept-Oct, Atlanta. Kimball, A.M.; Taneda, K. (2004). A new method for assessing the impact of emerging infections on global trade. OIE Scientific and Technical Review 23 (3) Hinrichs, J., Sims, L., McLeod, A., (2006). Some directs costs of control for avian influenza. International Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Economics (ISVEE) Paper, 2006. Otte, J.; Nugent R.; McLeod A. (2004). Transboundary animal diseases: assessment of socioeconomic impacts and institutional responses. Livestock policy discussion paper no 9. FAO, Rome. Agrifood Consulting International. (2006). The Impact of Avian Influenza on Poultry Sector Restructuring and its Socio-economic Effects (Poultry Sector Rehabilitation Project – Phase I) FAO, Rome. McKibbin, W.; Sidorenko, A. (2006). Global Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic Influenza. Lowy Institute for international policy, Sydney. Le Gall, F. (2006). Economic and Social Consequences of Animal Diseases. World Bank (WB), Washington D.C. Le Gall, F. (Jun-06). Concern Grows over Animal Health. WB, Washington D.C.. Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting 161
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