2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs, Annex 5 in '000 US$ in '000 US$ Poultry stock losses (%) Poultry value losses Impact: scenario 2 (low impact) Culling/ Disposal costs Control costs Total impact Poultry stock losses (%) Impact: scenario 3 (high impact) Poultry value Culling/ Control costs Total impact losses Disposal costs 7% 42,525 5,103 3,402 51,030 25% 151,875 18,225 12,150 182,250 2.5 0.3 0.2 2.5 0.3 0.2 7% 58,800 9,800 3,920 72,520 25% 210,000 35,000 14,000 259,000 6 1 0.4 6 1 0.4 4 0.7 0.3 4 0.7 0.3 7% 1,993,385 348,842 149,504 2,491,732 25% 7,119,233 1,245,866 533,942 8,899,041 7% 2,286,169 400,080 171,463 2,857,712 25% 8,164,890 1,428,856 612,367 10,206,113 7% 3,622,855 634,000 271,714 4,528,568 25% 12,938,767 2,264,284 970,408 16,173,459 1,993,385 348,842 149,504 2,491,732 21,357,699 3,737,597 1,601,827 26,697,124 2,286,169 400,080 171,463 2,857,712 24,494,670 4,286,567 1,837,100 30,618,338 3,622,855 634,000 271,714 4,528,568 38,816,301 6,792,853 2,911,223 48,520,376 2 12 7% 996,693 25% 21,357,699 7% 1,143,085 25% 24,494,670 7% 1,811,427 25% 38,816,301 996,693 64,073,097 1,143,085 73,484,010 1,811,427 116,448,903 3,488,424 30,256,740 4,000,796 34,700,783 6,339,996 54,989,760 3,488,424 90,770,221 4,000,796 104,102,348 6,339,996 164,969,279 Civic Consulting - Agra CEAS Consulting 13
Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs, Annex 5 Poultry stock losses (%) Poultry value losses in '000 US$ Impact: scenario 2 (low impact) Culling/ Disposal costs Control costs Total impact Poultry stock losses (%) in '000 US$ Impact: scenario 3 (high impact) Poultry value Culling/ Control costs Total impact losses Disposal costs 7% 2,352 412 176 2,940 25% 8,400 1,470 630 10,500 7% 1,308 229 98 1,635 25% 4,670 817 350 5,838 7% 35,000 6,125 2,625 43,750 25% 125,000 21,875 9,375 156,250 7% 1,904 333 143 2,380 25% 6,800 1,190 510 8,500 7% 26,600 4,655 1,995 33,250 25% 95,000 16,625 7,125 118,750 7% 1,285 225 96 1,607 25% 4,590 803 344 5,738 7% 4,915 860 369 6,144 25% 17,553 3,072 1,316 21,941 7% 132 23 10 165 25% 470 82 35 588 7% 39,760 6,958 2,982 49,700 25% 142,000 24,850 10,650 177,500 7% 952 167 71 1,190 25% 3,400 595 255 4,250 7% 6,888 1,205 517 8,610 25% 24,600 4,305 1,845 30,750 7% 448 78 34 560 25% 1,600 280 120 2,000 7% 3,640 637 273 4,550 25% 13,000 2,275 975 16,250 7% 64 11 5 81 25% 230 40 17 288 7% 21,000 3,675 1,575 26,250 25% 75,000 13,125 5,625 93,750 7% 2,520 441 189 3,150 25% 9,000 1,575 675 11,250 7% 1,120 196 84 1,400 25% 4,000 700 300 5,000 7% 308,000 53,900 23,100 385,000 25% 1,100,000 192,500 82,500 1,375,000 7% 3,640 637 273 4,550 25% 13,000 2,275 975 16,250 7% 4,805 841 360 6,006 25% 17,159 3,003 1,287 21,449 7% 7,207 1,261 541 9,009 25% 25,739 4,504 1,930 32,174 7% 1,204 211 90 1,505 25% 4,300 753 323 5,375 7% 4,200 735 315 5,250 25% 15,000 2,625 1,125 18,750 7% 8,680 1,519 651 10,850 25% 31,000 5,425 2,325 38,750 7% 1,335 234 100 1,669 25% 4,769 835 358 5,961 7% 1,456 255 109 1,820 25% 5,200 910 390 6,500 7% 26,600 4,655 1,995 33,250 25% 95,000 16,625 7,125 118,750 7% 1,220,868 213,652 91,565 1,526,085 25% 4,360,243 763,043 327,018 5,450,304 7% 42,000 7,350 3,150 52,500 25% 150,000 26,250 11,250 187,500 7% 143 25 11 179 25% 510 89 38 638 7% 672 118 50 840 25% 2,400 420 180 3,000 7% 5,535 969 415 6,919 25% 19,769 3,460 1,483 24,711 7% 5,460 956 410 6,825 25% 19,500 3,413 1,463 24,375 7% 9,240 1,617 693 11,550 25% 33,000 5,775 2,475 41,250 7% 2,979 521 223 3,724 25% 10,640 1,862 798 13,300 7% 7,683 1,345 576 9,604 25% 27,440 4,802 2,058 34,300 7% 0 0 0 0 25% 0 0 0 0 7% 13,300 2,328 998 16,625 25% 47,500 8,313 3,563 59,375 7% 29,181 5,107 2,189 36,476 25% 104,217 18,238 7,816 130,271 7% 26,600 4,655 1,995 33,250 25% 95,000 16,625 7,125 118,750 7% 3,762 658 282 4,703 25% 13,437 2,351 1,008 16,796 7% 90 16 7 112 25% 320 56 24 400 7% 384 67 29 480 25% 1,370 240 103 1,713 7% 10,920 1,911 819 13,650 25% 39,000 6,825 2,925 48,750 7% 733 128 55 916 25% 2,617 458 196 3,271 7% 868 152 65 1,085 25% 3,100 543 233 3,875 7% 182 32 14 228 25% 650 114 49 813 7% 2,548 446 191 3,185 25% 9,100 1,593 683 11,375 7% 8,400 1,470 630 10,500 25% 30,000 5,250 2,250 37,500 7% 7,560 1,323 567 9,450 25% 27,000 4,725 2,025 33,750 7% 4,442 777 333 5,553 25% 15,865 2,776 1,190 19,831 7% 448 78 34 560 25% 1,600 280 120 2,000 7% 5,600 980 420 7,000 25% 20,000 3,500 1,500 25,000 7% 1,540 270 116 1,925 25% 5,500 963 413 6,875 7% 5,236 916 393 6,545 25% 18,700 3,273 1,403 23,375 7% 120,400 21,070 9,030 150,500 25% 430,000 75,250 32,250 537,500 7% 349,839 61,222 26,238 437,299 25% 1,249,426 218,650 93,707 1,561,783 7% 78,400 13,720 5,880 98,000 25% 280,000 49,000 21,000 350,000 7% 9,240 1,617 693 11,550 25% 33,000 5,775 2,475 41,250 7% 3,500 613 263 4,375 25% 12,500 2,188 938 15,625 7% 7,000 1,225 525 8,750 25% 25,000 4,375 1,875 31,250 7% 7,140 1,250 536 8,925 25% 25,500 4,463 1,913 31,875 7% 8,024 1,404 602 10,030 25% 28,657 5,015 2,149 35,821 7% 5,880 1,029 441 7,350 25% 21,000 3,675 1,575 26,250 7% 30,800 5,390 2,310 38,500 25% 110,000 19,250 8,250 137,500 7% 9,100 1,593 683 11,375 25% 32,500 5,688 2,438 40,625 7% 1,154 202 87 1,442 25% 4,121 721 309 5,151 7% 5,544 970 416 6,930 25% 19,800 3,465 1,485 24,750 7% 9,800 1,715 735 12,250 25% 35,000 6,125 2,625 43,750 7% 504 88 38 630 25% 1,800 315 135 2,250 7% 7,000 1,225 525 8,750 25% 25,000 4,375 1,875 31,250 7% 6,720 1,176 504 8,400 25% 24,000 4,200 1,800 30,000 7% 4,256 745 319 5,320 25% 15,200 2,660 1,140 19,000 Civic Consulting - Agra CEAS Consulting 14
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The World Organisation for Animal H
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Expert Team Agra CEAS Consulting: M
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Prevention and control of animal di
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