2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide
Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs, Annex 5
Individual countries:
in '000 US$
Total poultry stock , 2005 (v)
Impact: scenario 1 (most likely)
Poultry stock
Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C
Poultry stock Poultry value Culling/
Control Total impact
('000 head) (v)
countries countries countries
losses (%) losses Disposal costs costs
('000 head) 7,119,233 8,164,890 12,938,767
(% of total) 55.0% 63.1% 100.0%
1 Afghanistan 8,400 15% 5,040 882 378 6,300
2 Albania 4,670 15% 2,802 490 210 3,503
3 Algeria 125,000 15% 75,000 13,125 5,625 93,750
4 Angola 6,800 15% 4,080 714 306 5,100
5 Argentina 95,000 15% 57,000 9,975 4,275 71,250
6 Armenia 4,590 15% 2,754 482 207 3,443
7 Azerbaijan 17,553 15% 10,532 1,843 790 13,165
8 Bahrain 470 15% 282 49 21 353
9 Bangladesh 142,000 15% 85,200 14,910 6,390 106,500
10 Barbados 3,400 15% 2,040 357 153 2,550
11 Belarus 24,600 15% 14,760 2,583 1,107 18,450
12 Belize 1,600 15% 960 168 72 1,200
13 Benin 13,000 15% 7,800 1,365 585 9,750
14 Bhutan 230 15% 138 24 10 173
15 Bolivia 75,000 15% 45,000 7,875 3,375 56,250
16 Bosnia-Herz 9,000 15% 5,400 945 405 6,750
17 Botswana 4,000 15% 2,400 420 180 3,000
18 Brazil 1,100,000 15% 660,000 115,500 49,500 825,000
19 Brunei 13,000 15% 7,800 1,365 585 9,750
20 Bulgaria 17,159 15% 10,295 1,802 772 12,869
21 Burkina Faso 25,739 15% 15,443 2,703 1,158 19,304
22 Burundi 4,300 15% 2,580 452 194 3,225
23 Cambodia 15,000 15% 9,000 1,575 675 11,250
24 Cameroon 31,000 15% 18,600 3,255 1,395 23,250
25 Central Afr. Rep. 4,769 15% 2,861 501 215 3,577
26 Chad 5,200 15% 3,120 546 234 3,900
27 Chile 95,000 15% 57,000 9,975 4,275 71,250
28 China 4,360,243 15% 2,616,146 457,826 196,211 3,270,182
29 Colombia 150,000 15% 90,000 15,750 6,750 112,500
30 Comoros 510 15% 306 54 23 383
31 Congo 2,400 15% 1,440 252 108 1,800
32 Congo Dem. Rep 19,769 15% 11,861 2,076 890 14,827
33 Costa Rica 19,500 15% 11,700 2,048 878 14,625
34 Cote d'Ivoire 33,000 15% 19,800 3,465 1,485 24,750
35 Croatia 10,640 15% 6,384 1,117 479 7,980
36 Cuba 27,440 15% 16,464 2,881 1,235 20,580
37 Djibouti 15% 0 0 0 0
38 Dominican Rep 47,500 15% 28,500 4,988 2,138 35,625
39 Ecuador 104,217 15% 62,530 10,943 4,690 78,163
40 Egypt 95,000 15% 57,000 9,975 4,275 71,250
41 El Salvador 13,437 15% 8,062 1,411 605 10,078
42 Eq. Guinea 320 15% 192 34 14 240
43 Eritrea 1,370 15% 822 144 62 1,028
44 Ethiopia 39,000 15% 23,400 4,095 1,755 29,250
45 FYR Macedonia 2,617 15% 1,570 275 118 1,963
46 Gabon 3,100 15% 1,860 326 140 2,325
47 Gambia 650 15% 390 68 29 488
48 Georgia 9,100 15% 5,460 956 410 6,825
49 Ghana 30,000 15% 18,000 3,150 1,350 22,500
50 Guatemala 27,000 15% 16,200 2,835 1,215 20,250
51 Guinea 15,865 15% 9,519 1,666 714 11,899
52 Guinea Bissau 1,600 15% 960 168 72 1,200
53 Guyana 20,000 15% 12,000 2,100 900 15,000
54 Haiti 5,500 15% 3,300 578 248 4,125
55 Honduras 18,700 15% 11,220 1,964 842 14,025
56 India 430,000 15% 258,000 45,150 19,350 322,500
57 Indonesia 1,249,426 15% 749,656 131,190 56,224 937,070
58 Iran 280,000 15% 168,000 29,400 12,600 210,000
59 Iraq 33,000 15% 19,800 3,465 1,485 24,750
60 Jamaica 12,500 15% 7,500 1,313 563 9,375
61 Jordan 25,000 15% 15,000 2,625 1,125 18,750
62 Kazakhstan 25,500 15% 15,300 2,678 1,148 19,125
63 Kenya 28,657 15% 17,194 3,009 1,290 21,493
64 Korea North 21,000 15% 12,600 2,205 945 15,750
65 Korea South 110,000 15% 66,000 11,550 4,950 82,500
66 Kuwait 32,500 15% 19,500 3,413 1,463 24,375
67 Kyrgyzstan 4,121 15% 2,473 433 185 3,091
68 Laos 19,800 15% 11,880 2,079 891 14,850
69 Lebanon 35,000 15% 21,000 3,675 1,575 26,250
70 Lesotho 1,800 15% 1,080 189 81 1,350
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