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2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide<br />

Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs<br />

Mainly affected by the costs (1)<br />

Type of costs Examples Govern<br />

ment<br />

Livestock<br />

holders<br />

Agrifood<br />

chain<br />

Other<br />

industry<br />

sectors<br />

Wider<br />

society<br />

B. Outbreak costs: indirect impact<br />

Losses caused by<br />

ripple effects<br />

(impact on prices<br />

and on upstream<br />

and downstream<br />

activities)<br />

Losses caused by<br />

spill-over effects<br />

(impact on other<br />

economic<br />

sectors)<br />

• Price effects regarding<br />

livestock/ livestock<br />

products<br />

• Loss of access/<br />

opportunity to access,<br />

regional and<br />

international markets<br />

• Impact on inputs<br />

(feed, chicks, vet<br />

medicines)<br />

• Drop in demand in the<br />

services sector<br />

(tourism, public<br />

transport, retail trade,<br />

hospitality and food<br />

services)<br />

X<br />

(3)<br />

X<br />

X<br />

X<br />

Notes:<br />

(1) This Table refers to the economic agents mainly affected by the costs/losses<br />

(2) Includes transfer costs of government for public compensation for culled animals etc.<br />

(3) In terms of loss in fees / taxes<br />

A more precise definition of the various costs is provided below.<br />

3.6. Definition of outbreak costs<br />

Outbreak costs differentiate between direct costs and losses, and the various indirect costs and indirect<br />

losses, in accordance with the typology of costs presented in Table 2.<br />

A. Direct impact<br />

The total direct cost of a disease is the sum of the production losses (direct and consequential) and the<br />

costs of disease control, as follows:<br />

• Direct losses: Direct losses can stem either from the disease itself (which at its worst potentially<br />

result in the complete loss of all livestock of a <strong>part</strong>icular species), or from sanitary control<br />

Civic <strong>Consulting</strong> • <strong>Agra</strong> <strong>CEAS</strong> <strong>Consulting</strong> 35

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