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2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide<br />

Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs<br />

Figure 18 Overview of estimated direct production costs and losses under the different scenarios,<br />

HPAI<br />

Global direct production costs and losses, scenario A (annual)<br />

10,000,000<br />

9,000,000<br />

8,000,000<br />

7,000,000<br />

'000 US$<br />

6,000,000<br />

5,000,000<br />

4,000,000<br />

3,000,000<br />

2,000,000<br />

1,000,000<br />

0<br />

Impact: scenario 1 (most<br />

likely)<br />

Impact: scenario 2 (low<br />

impact)<br />

Impact: scenario 3 (high<br />

impact)<br />

Poultry value losses<br />

Culling/<br />

Disposal costs<br />

Control costs<br />

Global direct production costs and losses, scenario B (annual)<br />

12,000,000<br />

10,000,000<br />

8,000,000<br />

'000 US$<br />

6,000,000<br />

4,000,000<br />

2,000,000<br />

0<br />

Impact: scenario 1 (most<br />

likely)<br />

Impact: scenario 2 (low<br />

impact)<br />

Impact: scenario 3 (high<br />

impact)<br />

Poultry value losses<br />

Culling/<br />

Disposal costs<br />

Control costs<br />

Civic <strong>Consulting</strong> • <strong>Agra</strong> <strong>CEAS</strong> <strong>Consulting</strong> 149

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