2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide
Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs, Annex 5
in '000 US$
in '000 US$
Poultry stock
losses (%)
Poultry value
losses
Impact: scenario 2 (low impact)
Culling/
Disposal costs
Control
costs
Total impact
Poultry stock
losses (%)
Impact: scenario 3 (high impact)
Poultry value Culling/ Control costs Total impact
losses Disposal costs
7% 42,525 5,103 3,402 51,030 25% 151,875 18,225 12,150 182,250
2.5 0.3 0.2 2.5 0.3 0.2
7% 58,800 9,800 3,920 72,520 25% 210,000 35,000 14,000 259,000
6 1 0.4 6 1 0.4
4 0.7 0.3 4 0.7 0.3
7% 1,993,385 348,842 149,504 2,491,732 25% 7,119,233 1,245,866 533,942 8,899,041
7% 2,286,169 400,080 171,463 2,857,712 25% 8,164,890 1,428,856 612,367 10,206,113
7% 3,622,855 634,000 271,714 4,528,568 25% 12,938,767 2,264,284 970,408 16,173,459
1,993,385 348,842 149,504 2,491,732 21,357,699 3,737,597 1,601,827 26,697,124
2,286,169 400,080 171,463 2,857,712 24,494,670 4,286,567 1,837,100 30,618,338
3,622,855 634,000 271,714 4,528,568 38,816,301 6,792,853 2,911,223 48,520,376
2 12
7% 996,693 25% 21,357,699
7% 1,143,085 25% 24,494,670
7% 1,811,427 25% 38,816,301
996,693 64,073,097
1,143,085 73,484,010
1,811,427 116,448,903
3,488,424 30,256,740
4,000,796 34,700,783
6,339,996 54,989,760
3,488,424 90,770,221
4,000,796 104,102,348
6,339,996 164,969,279
Civic Consulting - Agra CEAS Consulting 7