2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs 4.2.3. Assessments of costs at national (country) level As indicated in the previous sections, the costs of prevention and control systems depend on the specific conditions of each county, including the nature of the disease and its prevalence (Annex 1), the current situation of the VS and preparedness levels (section 4.2.1), and the structure of the sector. All these factors affect the costs of establishing comprehensive surveillance, implementing controls, and developing biosecurity. Consequently, these costs need to be defined as much as possible on a country by country basis. In the case of HPAI, more detailed assessments of the costs involved at country level are available. The data on total country needs from the ALIVE needs assessment for Africa indicated in the previous section (Table 4 and Table 5), are based on estimates of the costs of the animal health component of the national plans for the prevention and control of HPAI for each of the 54 African countries covered by the project 76 (A258). These estimates are derived from an analysis of national AHI emergency preparedness plans, as drafted by most African countries themselves and are therefore derived from the countries’ own assessment of the situation. It is also noted that the analysis and synthesis of the data by ALIVE has involved significant work, as the original plans are presented in a different way between countries in most cases. As indicated in Figure 5, the highest needs at country level were identified by Egypt, Kenya and Nigeria (accounting respectively for 14%, 12% and 11% of the total needs). This reflects the high risk perception and the importance attributed by the national governments of these countries to HPAI. The situation in Nigeria is further assessed in the case study on this country presented in this Report (section 5.3.). 76 Except South Africa and Libya, for which no detailed estimates of the animal health component are available. Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting 62
Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs Figure 5 Africa needs assessment for HPAI: animal health component by country Tunisia Morocco Mauritania Egypt Algeria Zimbabwe Zambia Tanzania Swaziland Seychelles Namibia Mozambique Mauritius Malawi Madagascar Lesotho DRC Comoros Botswana Angola Uganda Sudan Somalia Rwanda Kenya Eritrea Ethiopia Djibouti Burundi Sao Tome & Principe Gabon Eq. Guinea Congo Chad CAR Cameroon Togo Sierra Leone Senegal Nigeria Niger Mali Liberia Guinea Bissau Guinea Ghana Gambia Cote d'Ivoire Cap Verde Burkina Faso Benin US$ 0 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 Source: ALIVE , as presented in Bamako, December 2006 (A258) Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting 63
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