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2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide<br />

Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs<br />

<strong>part</strong>icular PARC and PACE 55 ) over the last 20 years, which have received sustained funding and technical<br />

support 56 . More recently, in January 2006, the FAO launched a series of Regional Technical Cooperation<br />

Projects in West/Central, East/Southern and North Africa, which are intended to establish HPAI disease<br />

and epidemiological surveillance networks.<br />

4.2.1.4. Vaccination<br />

Vaccination is another control and/or prevention measure applied in selected cases, where this is available<br />

and considered appropriate. At present, there is significant literature and policy debate on the suitability of<br />

this control method and the conditions that need to be fulfilled for its effective application. For example,<br />

vaccination for HPAI has been applied in Vietnam (apparently with successful results) but not other <strong>part</strong>s<br />

of Asia 57 , and is currently being considered in Nigeria although there is a strong debate on its potential<br />

effectiveness in the Nigerian context (A293). In the countries where a vaccination strategy was adopted,<br />

this was mainly because the disease had spread widely throughout the smallholder poultry sector,<br />

<strong>part</strong>icularly in production systems 2, 3 and 4 (medium to low level of biosecurity), accompanied by very<br />

high animal mortality (A40). The trade situation of a country and its concern to have its products accepted<br />

in export markets is another key parameter affecting decisions to adopt vaccination (e.g. Vietnam has no<br />

exports versus Thailand which is a key export country). The debate is compounded by the lack / limited<br />

access to data on the efficacy of this policy option and of the current vaccines used 58 .<br />

The 2006 UNSIC survey (A236) indicates that country attitudes and vaccination strategies differ<br />

substantially between regions and the implementation of such programmes remains relatively infrequent.<br />

The percentage of countries planning/implementing poultry vaccination is <strong>part</strong>icularly low in the<br />

Americas (16%), Europe/C. Asia (23%), and the Middle East/N. Africa (28%), and relatively modest in<br />

the rest of the world (Africa: 52%; Asia/Pacific: 45%) Although in the last 6 months of 2006 countries<br />

stepped up their preparation of vaccination plans, it is unclear whether this was triggered by a growing<br />

acceptance of this policy option or simply reflects the response to the rapid spread of H5N1.<br />

The OIE/FAO are currently in the process of developing guidelines on vaccination for HPAI, which cover<br />

inter alia the epidemiological situation of the disease, the type of poultry production systems, logistical<br />

55<br />

It was in fact the PACE surveillance programme that first alerted Africa to HPAI infection (in Nigeria).<br />

56 Despite the progress achieved by these programmes, new challenges have emerged in terms of prevention and<br />

control, such as those more recently posed by HPAI. Also, few donors have allocated funds so far to finance projects<br />

that would ensure the sustainable and long-term reinforcement of VS.<br />

57 Currently (Nov 2005), China, Vietnam, Indonesia and Pakistan are the only countries using vaccination as <strong>part</strong> of<br />

their HPAI control strategy.<br />

58 Modelling studies suggest that where 90% of birds in a flock are adequately protected by vaccine, the probability<br />

of flock infection is reduced by 50%. However, despite such vaccination protection at the individual level, ‘silent<br />

spread’ of H5N1 can still occur within the flock, with risk for transmission between flocks, <strong>part</strong>icularly at the end of<br />

production cycle when biological security is compromised during bird transportation and cleaning of housing units.<br />

This highlights the need for a highly effective vaccine, an equally effective vaccination delivery mechanism,<br />

adequate bio-security measures, and potentially, the use of unvaccinated sentinel birds placed within vaccinated<br />

flocks (A236).<br />

Civic <strong>Consulting</strong> • <strong>Agra</strong> <strong>CEAS</strong> <strong>Consulting</strong> 49

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