2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs List of Boxes Box 1 Key components of a global action plan to control avian influenza in animals and limit the threat of a human influenza pandemic......................................................................................................... 27 Box 2 Key components of FMD contingency plans ............................................................................. 31 Box 3 Current challenges posed by the AI situation in Asia............................................................... 105 List of Tables Table 1 Overview of OIE international standards, guidelines and recommendations (a) ..................... 22 Table 2 Overview of definitions: prevention costs versus outbreak costs ............................................ 33 Table 3 Prevention and control of HPAI: global financing framework and country needs .................. 54 Table 4 Prevention and control of HPAI: estimates of global needs by type of intervention ............... 55 Table 5 Prevention and control of HPAI: Africa needs estimates by type of intervention ................... 56 Table 6 Overall impact of animal disease outbreaks: selected examples.............................................. 68 Table 7 Direct production costs and losses: selected examples ............................................................ 72 Table 8 Ripple effects: selected examples of demand/price shocks and trade impact .......................... 79 Table 9 Ripple effects: selected examples of the impact on upstream/downstream industries............. 83 Table 10 Cost-benefit of improved prevention and control: selected examples ................................... 91 Table 11 Vietnam: donor support to HPAI control, 2003-05 (a) ........................................................ 107 Table 12 Vietnam: HPAI Control & Eradication (AH component of Integrated Plan, 2006-10) ....... 110 Table 13 Vietnam: selected examples of prevention and control costs............................................... 111 Table 14 Vietnam: selected direct and indirect impacts of AI outbreaks (a) ...................................... 112 Table 15 Vietnam: calculation of total direct costs of HPAI outbreaks (2004-05)............................. 113 Table 16 Nigeria: Budget for HPAI emergency preparedness and response (2006-07) ..................... 123 Table 17 Nigeria: HPAI Control & Eradication (AH component of Integrated Plan, 2006-10)......... 124 Table 18 Nigeria: selected direct and indirect impacts of AI outbreaks (a) ........................................ 125 Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting v
Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs Table 19 Nigeria: calculation of total direct costs of HPAI outbreaks (2006) .................................... 126 Table 20 Romania: Animal Health component of the avian influenza control and human pandemic preparedness and response project .............................................................................................. 133 Table 21 Romania: some direct costs of HPAI outbreaks (a) ............................................................. 135 Table 22 Parameters used in global economic analysis of outbreak costs .......................................... 140 Table 23 Estimated global impact: direct costs and losses (a) (in ‘000 US$), HPAI.......................... 144 Table 24 Estimated global impact: total direct costs including consequential on-farm losses (in ‘000 US$), HPAI............................................................................................................................................ 145 Table 25 Estimated global impact: indirect costs, HPAI .................................................................... 152 List of Figures Figure 1 Share of global livestock product exports by key world regions (by value)........................... 38 Figure 2 Overview of country national emergency plans for HPAI (a) ................................................ 44 Figure 3 Availability of veterinarians per region .................................................................................. 46 Figure 4 Number of AI detection laboratories per region ..................................................................... 48 Figure 5 Africa needs assessment for HPAI: animal health component by country............................. 63 Figure 6 Overall impact of HPAI outbreaks: selected examples........................................................... 70 Figure 7 Direct production costs and losses of HPAI outbreaks: selected examples............................ 74 Figure 8 Cumulative global number of AI/H5N1 human cases and deaths, 2003-2006....................... 86 Figure 9 Cumulative number of AI/H5N1 human cases by country, 2003-to date............................... 87 Figure 10 Cumulative number of AI/H5N1 human deaths by country, 2003-to date ........................... 87 Figure 11 FMD outbreaks: Argentina and South America (1990-2005) (a) (b) ................................... 97 Figure 12 Public and private funds committed to FMD programmes in South America, 1990-2004... 99 Figure 13 Vietnam: comparison of prevention versus outbreak costs................................................. 117 Figure 14 Nigeria: comparison of prevention versus outbreak costs .................................................. 129 Figure 15 Romania: comparison of prevention versus outbreak costs................................................ 137 Civic Consulting • Agra CEAS Consulting vi
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Annexes Prevention and control of a
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