2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide
Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs
Table 13 Vietnam: selected examples of prevention and control costs
Component
Comprehensive
surveillance
Early warning
Laboratories
Costs
Estimates of a 10 year strategy for Vietnam which includes heightened surveillance,
improved biosecurity of markets, preventive vaccination and improved biosecurity on all
types of farms (sectors 1 to 4) put the cost of the investment at between 4 and 6 times the
benefit, depending on the assumptions made about the incidence of disease. (A76)
Investment in early warning typically includes staff training, laboratory upgrades and
information system upgrade from the field to the centre. For Vietnam the total cost would
be approximately US$2.4 million, including setting up community animal health worker
networks. In addition, there are recurrent costs, including field observation, sample taking
and testing, reporting. In Vietnam, the cost would be around US$ 4.1 million a year, or
US$ 41 million over ten years. (A76)
Upgrading of info systems: depending on the number of provinces and labs connected to
the system this investment is estimated in Vietnam at some US$ 340,000 (if information
systems for laboratories in two thirds of the provinces are upgraded and linked). (A7)
Vaccination In Vietnam the budget allocation for the vaccination program was originally US$ 17.3
million for the planned vaccination of 160 million poultry over a 2 year period. By end of
Jan 2006, 246 million doses had been administered at a cost of US$ 10 million. (A7)
The estimated cost of mass vaccination – including pre- and post-vaccination serological
surveillance (over a period of two years), followed by strategic serological surveillance
(over five years) is US$ 39 million (operating costs), with an initial investment of US$ 2.7
million. A thorough post-vaccination surveillance (such as that performed in Europe or
Hong Kong) in countries with dispersed poultry sectors (such as Vietnam) is estimated to
be prohibitive. (A76).
Communication
Biosecurity (onfarm)
A mass media campaign over a year to raise farmer awareness how to recognise AI and
how to report it to the authorities costs US$1 million. The cost is relatively high due to the
extensive production systems / backyard farming in the country. (A7)
In Vietnam, due to the large number of smallholders, the costs of training for just 10% of
the 7 million farms at a cost of US$50 per farm would amount to US$ 35 million. These
costs would be faced by the government.
In addition, there would be costs of investing in biosecurity (normally borne by farmers).
Assuming a minimum investment of US$ 75-100 on average per farm (in fence areas for
grazing and building a small shelter which are the minimum biosecurity measures), the
cost is expected to be over US$500-700 million for investment costs alone and twice that
for recurrent costs. This scale of investment is out of reach for most farmers (A7, A76).
This raises questions on the usefulness of the Plan, if such a key component is in practice
difficult to implement.
Biosecurity (in
markets)
The total cost of upgrading markets in Vietnam to improve biosecurity would be between
$5 and $10 million. (A76)
Source: compiled by Agra CEAS Consulting
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