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2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

2294 part 1 final report.pdf - Agra CEAS Consulting

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Prevention and control of animal diseases worldwide<br />

Part I: Economic analysis: prevention versus outbreak costs<br />

In the case of FMD, although a complete estimation of outbreak costs and an extrapolation to a world<br />

level has not been possible from the ad hoc evidence available, as discussed in section 4.4, existing studies<br />

overwhelmingly support the thesis that improved prevention and control (including through the<br />

improvement in VS) contributes to significant gains in terms of trade, which justify the investment 141 . This<br />

is <strong>part</strong>icularly the case for FMD, but there are also important benefits of this kind in the case of HPAI, as<br />

demonstrated by the ripple export markets impacts in the above calculations.<br />

Similar conclusions can be drawn from the analysis of the CBPP and rinderpest campaigns in Africa<br />

(section 4.4).<br />

141 This may not be the case for all developing/transition countries as quality issues and poor marketing channels<br />

often act as additional factors to animal health problems, that prohibit some countries from untapping their export<br />

potential, where such a potential is available.<br />

Civic <strong>Consulting</strong> • <strong>Agra</strong> <strong>CEAS</strong> <strong>Consulting</strong> 156

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