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Complete Book PDF (4.12MB) - World Bank eLibrary

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Construction Sector Corruption in Ethiopia 267<br />

contribution to the broader challenge of tackling both the perception and<br />

the reality of corruption within Ethiopia’s construction sector.<br />

Perceived Lack of Effective Competition in Parts<br />

of Ethiopia’s Road Sector<br />

In view of the reported perceptions of hidden barriers to entry to some<br />

markets within Ethiopia’s construction sector, this section attempts to<br />

assess in more detail whether the market is functioning in a manner<br />

consistent with true competition. Because of its high spending, available<br />

data, and concerns about rising costs, this analysis will focus on the road<br />

sector, specifically on ERA (responsible for federal roads) and RRAs<br />

(responsible for rural roads).<br />

Indicators of Competition<br />

If engineers’ estimates are accurate, and market forces working well, then<br />

competitive tenders should result in lower prices. The level of competition<br />

is normally measured based on (a) the number of bidders and (b) the<br />

spread and pattern of bids received.<br />

Such an analysis is beyond the scope of this study and is of little value<br />

if conducted superficially because both the number of bidders and the<br />

pattern of bids can readily be manipulated through collusive practices.<br />

However, based on monitoring of such indicators, ERA, some RRAs, and<br />

the <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> have each in recent years expressed concern about a possible<br />

lack of effective competition in the sector.<br />

An alternative approach to studying the issue is to focus on<br />

• the process of preparing engineers’ estimates; and<br />

• the degree to which any changes in unit costs can be attributed to the<br />

cost of inputs, capacity constraints at times of increased spending, or<br />

increased margins due to restricted competition in the sector.<br />

It is recommended that such a study be undertaken in the context of<br />

the Ethiopian road sector. Meanwhile, using data readily available from<br />

secondary sources, a preliminary analysis of such issues follows.<br />

Growth in Road Sector Spending<br />

The rapid growth in spending in Ethiopia’s road sector has been particularly<br />

marked since 2004. 9 The bulk of this spending is on federal roads,<br />

managed by ERA. In a constrained market, such a pattern of high and

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