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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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Changes <strong>in</strong> the climate system<br />

Figure 3.13<br />

Projected <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong> the volume of mounta<strong>in</strong> glaciers <strong>and</strong> ice caps <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>an glaciated<br />

regions<br />

Central <strong>Europe</strong><br />

Glacier volume (cubic km)<br />

150<br />

Sc<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>avia<br />

Glacier volume (cubic km)<br />

250<br />

125<br />

200<br />

100<br />

150<br />

75<br />

100<br />

50<br />

25<br />

50<br />

0<br />

2000<br />

2020<br />

2040<br />

2060<br />

2080<br />

2100<br />

0<br />

2000<br />

2020<br />

2040<br />

2060<br />

2080<br />

2100<br />

Icel<strong>and</strong><br />

Glacier volume (cubic km)<br />

3 000<br />

Svalbard<br />

Glacier volume (cubic km)<br />

10 000<br />

2 400<br />

8 000<br />

1 800<br />

6 000<br />

1 200<br />

4 000<br />

600<br />

2 000<br />

0<br />

2000<br />

2020<br />

2040<br />

2060<br />

2080<br />

2100<br />

0<br />

2000<br />

2020<br />

2040<br />

2060<br />

2080<br />

2100<br />

RCP4.5 third quartile RCP4.5 median RCP4.5 first quartile RCP8.5 third quartile RCP8.5 median RCP8.5 first quartile<br />

Note:<br />

The figure shows the projected volume for 2006–2100 of all mounta<strong>in</strong> glaciers <strong>and</strong> ice caps <strong>in</strong> the <strong>Europe</strong>an glaciated regions, derived<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g a mass balance model driven with temperature <strong>and</strong> precipitation scenarios from 14 GCMs, <strong>in</strong> central <strong>Europe</strong>, consist<strong>in</strong>g of the<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an Alps <strong>and</strong> Pyrenees (top left), Sc<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>avia (top right), Icel<strong>and</strong> (bottom left) <strong>and</strong> Svalbard (bottom right).<br />

Source: Radić et al., 2014.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report<br />

101

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