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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> on environmental systems<br />

Map 4.6<br />

Projected <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong> the frequency of flood<strong>in</strong>g events <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong><br />

-30°<br />

-20°<br />

-10°<br />

0°<br />

10°<br />

20°<br />

30°<br />

40°<br />

50°<br />

60°<br />

70°<br />

Change <strong>in</strong> the frequency<br />

of flood<strong>in</strong>g events under<br />

projected sea level rise<br />

Multiplication factor<br />

0–1<br />

60°<br />

1–5<br />

5–10<br />

10–25<br />

50°<br />

25–50<br />

50–100<br />

> 100<br />

50°<br />

40°<br />

40°<br />

0 500 1000 1500 km<br />

0°<br />

10°<br />

20°<br />

30°<br />

40°<br />

Note:<br />

Source:<br />

This map shows the multiplication factor (shown at tide gauge locations by coloured dots) by which the frequency of flood<strong>in</strong>g events of<br />

a given height is projected to <strong>in</strong>crease between 2010 <strong>and</strong> 2100 as a result of regional relative sea level rise under the RCP4.5 scenario.<br />

Values larger than 1 depict an <strong>in</strong>crease; values smaller than 1 depict a decrease. The decreases occurr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the northern parts of the<br />

Baltic Sea are caused by glacial isostatic adjustment.<br />

Adapted from Church et al., 2013 (Figure 13.25b).<br />

132 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report

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