Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

Climate change impacts on society
Figure 5.7
Time series of Baltic Sea Vibrio cases
Number of Vibro cases (per year)
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Note:
The solid line in this figure shows the observed cases and dotted line shows the GLM model predictions based on the influence of
maximum sea surface temperature and time.
Source: Adapted from Baker-Austin et al., 2012.
Map 5.8
1983
1984
1985
Observed
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
Predicted
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Current and projected risk of vibriosis infections in the Baltic Sea region
0°
10°
20°
30°
0°
2006 2050
10°
20°
30°
14
60°
60°
60°
60°
15
26
5
2
10°
20°
10°
20°
Risk model map during summer 2006 and number of cases in countries reporting infections (left) and projection of the risk of infection
in 2050 (right)
Risk
0 2 4 6 8 10
0 500 1 000 km
Note:
Source:
Left: A risk model map during summer 2006 showing the number of cases in countries reporting infections. Right: A projection of the risk
of infection in 2050.
Adapted from Baker-Austin et al., 2012. © 2012 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. Reproduced with permission.
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