Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016
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Strengthen<strong>in</strong>g the knowledge base<br />
number of variables, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly with open data access,<br />
<strong>and</strong> there is progress <strong>in</strong> other areas, through global<br />
networks for glaciers <strong>and</strong> permafrost, for example.<br />
St<strong>and</strong>ards, methods <strong>and</strong> data ex<strong>change</strong> protocols<br />
for key hydrological variables have been developed.<br />
An <strong>in</strong>tegrated approach to terrestrial observation<br />
is still lack<strong>in</strong>g, however. GCOS is develop<strong>in</strong>g a new<br />
implementation plan, due to be published <strong>in</strong> <strong>2016</strong>,<br />
describ<strong>in</strong>g further actions that are needed <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g<br />
years.<br />
Specific conclusions from the report <strong>in</strong>clude the<br />
follow<strong>in</strong>g for the <strong>in</strong> situ <strong>and</strong> other non space-based<br />
components of the observ<strong>in</strong>g system:<br />
• The performance of the Argo network <strong>and</strong> its floats<br />
<strong>in</strong> profil<strong>in</strong>g temperature <strong>and</strong> sal<strong>in</strong>ity has been<br />
outst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g. The network is now exp<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to<br />
marg<strong>in</strong>al seas <strong>and</strong> high latitudes.<br />
• There have been improvements <strong>in</strong> the coverage<br />
<strong>and</strong> quality of measurements for a number of<br />
more established <strong>in</strong> situ networks, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
ma<strong>in</strong> meteorological networks.<br />
• Several oceanic <strong>and</strong> terrestrial networks mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
situ measurements <strong>and</strong> networks for ground‐based<br />
remote-sens<strong>in</strong>g of atmospheric composition have<br />
been established or significantly exp<strong>and</strong>ed <strong>in</strong><br />
recent years.<br />
• Fewer observations have been provided recently by<br />
some atmospheric composition <strong>and</strong> mar<strong>in</strong>e buoy<br />
networks.<br />
• Surface meteorological measurements from ships<br />
have decl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> number over the major parts of<br />
ocean bas<strong>in</strong>s, but have <strong>in</strong>creased near coasts.<br />
• Some gaps <strong>in</strong> the coverage of networks over l<strong>and</strong><br />
have been reduced.<br />
• The recovery of historical data has progressed well<br />
<strong>in</strong> some respects, but is still limited <strong>in</strong> extent <strong>and</strong><br />
hampered by restrictive data policies.<br />
• The generation of data products, for example<br />
on surface air temperature, humidity <strong>and</strong><br />
precipitation, cont<strong>in</strong>ues to improve.<br />
• Susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g observ<strong>in</strong>g system activities that are<br />
<strong>in</strong>itiated with short-term research fund<strong>in</strong>g is a<br />
recurrent issue.<br />
Table 7.1<br />
Essential climate variables that are currently feasible for global implementation <strong>and</strong><br />
address<strong>in</strong>g UNFCCC requirements<br />
Atmospheric Surface: ( a ) Air temperature, w<strong>in</strong>d speed <strong>and</strong> direction, water vapour, pressure, precipitation, surface<br />
radiation budget<br />
Upper air: ( b )<br />
Temperature, w<strong>in</strong>d speed <strong>and</strong> direction, water vapour, cloud properties, Earth radiation<br />
budget (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g solar irradiance)<br />
Composition:<br />
Carbon dioxide, methane, other long-lived greenhouse gases ( c ) ozone <strong>and</strong> aerosol<br />
supported by their precursors ( d )<br />
Oceanic Surface: ( e ) Sea surface temperature, sea surface sal<strong>in</strong>ity, sea level, sea state, sea ice, surface current,<br />
ocean colour, carbon dioxide partial pressure, ocean acidity, phytoplankton<br />
Sub-surface:<br />
Temperature, sal<strong>in</strong>ity, current, nutrients, carbon dioxide partial pressure, ocean acidity,<br />
oxygen, tracers<br />
Terrestrial River discharge, water use, groundwater, lakes, snow cover, glaciers <strong>and</strong> ice caps, ice<br />
sheets, permafrost, albedo, l<strong>and</strong> cover (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g vegetation type), fraction of absorbed<br />
photosynthetically active radiation, leaf area <strong>in</strong>dex, above‐ground biomass, soil carbon,<br />
fire disturbance, soil moisture<br />
Note:<br />
( a ) Includ<strong>in</strong>g measurements at st<strong>and</strong>ardised but globally vary<strong>in</strong>g heights <strong>in</strong> close proximity to the surface.<br />
( b ) Up to the stratopause.<br />
( c ) Includ<strong>in</strong>g N 2 O, chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), sulphur hexafluoride (SF 6 ), <strong>and</strong> perfluorocarbons<br />
(PFCs).<br />
( d ) In particular NO 2 , sulphur dioxide (SO 2 ), formaldehyde (HCHO), <strong>and</strong> carbon monoxide (CO).<br />
( e ) Includ<strong>in</strong>g measurements with<strong>in</strong> the surface mixed layer, usually with<strong>in</strong> the upper 15 m.<br />
Source: Adapted from Boj<strong>in</strong>ski et al., 2014.<br />
314 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report