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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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Strengthen<strong>in</strong>g the knowledge base<br />

The aim is to support adaptation <strong>and</strong> mitigation<br />

policies <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>in</strong> a number of sectors, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

water management, agriculture, forestry, tourism,<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance, transport, energy, human health,<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure, disaster risk reduction <strong>and</strong> coastal<br />

areas. By provid<strong>in</strong>g datasets, tools <strong>and</strong> best practices<br />

<strong>in</strong> a free <strong>and</strong> open way, 'downstream services' are<br />

expected to be developed <strong>in</strong> various thematic areas.<br />

The service will be delivered through a climate data<br />

store, a sectoral <strong>in</strong>formation system, an evaluation<br />

<strong>and</strong> quality control function, <strong>and</strong> an outreach <strong>and</strong><br />

dissem<strong>in</strong>ation platform.<br />

The climate data store will conta<strong>in</strong> a series of<br />

geophysical climate variables <strong>and</strong> specific <strong>in</strong>dicators<br />

related to climate <strong>change</strong> (observed, reanalysed<br />

<strong>and</strong> simulated), needed to monitor both drivers <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>impacts</strong> of climate <strong>change</strong>. Essential climate variables<br />

<strong>and</strong> climate data records will be part of the store, as<br />

well as the derived climate <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong>dicators. The<br />

sectoral <strong>in</strong>formation system will conta<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

tailored to fit the needs of end users <strong>and</strong> customers of<br />

the service for various EU sector-specific policies (see<br />

Chapter 2). The evaluation <strong>and</strong> quality control function<br />

will assess the technical <strong>and</strong> scientific quality of the<br />

service, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the value to users. It will ensure<br />

that <strong>in</strong>formation is fully traceable <strong>and</strong> adequately<br />

documented, <strong>and</strong> that sufficient attention has been<br />

given to the assessment of uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties. The sectoral<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation system is expected to help improve the<br />

quality <strong>and</strong> availability of <strong>in</strong>dicators on climate <strong>change</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> at the <strong>Europe</strong>an scale, specifically for<br />

the sectors to be covered <strong>in</strong> the various phases of the<br />

service.<br />

C3S is expected to become an important <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

source for several of the <strong>in</strong>dicators that are <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong><br />

this report. It will also be l<strong>in</strong>ked to the <strong>Climate</strong>‐ADAPT<br />

platform. The EEA <strong>and</strong> ECMWF are discuss<strong>in</strong>g how<br />

best to establish collaboration <strong>in</strong> future.<br />

7.1.3 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> adaptation services<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> adaptation services have so far been<br />

developed <strong>and</strong> implemented differently from climate<br />

<strong>change</strong> services. <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> services have thus<br />

far focused primarily on provid<strong>in</strong>g climate <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

(<strong>and</strong> to some extent have <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>impacts</strong>), while<br />

adaptation services (such as <strong>Climate</strong>-ADAPT at the<br />

EU level) so far have provided broader <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>and</strong> risk assessments,<br />

adaptation strategies <strong>and</strong> options, case studies <strong>and</strong><br />

policy frameworks. Thus, these types of services can<br />

be regarded as complementary.<br />

The recent (2015) '<strong>Europe</strong>an research <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>novation<br />

roadmap for climate services' uses a broader def<strong>in</strong>ition<br />

<strong>and</strong> scope (Street et al., 2015). <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> services<br />

<strong>and</strong> adaptation services are expected to become<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong> the future, thereby deliver<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the services needed by the <strong>in</strong>tended users (see also<br />

Section 7.6).<br />

An <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g number of adaptation platforms (or<br />

services) have emerged over the past years, which<br />

are described <strong>and</strong> analysed <strong>in</strong> an EEA technical<br />

report (EEA, 2015b). In 2015, there were adaptation<br />

platforms <strong>in</strong> place at the national level <strong>in</strong> 14 EEA<br />

member countries, as well as platforms at the<br />

transnational level for the Alp<strong>in</strong>e region <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Pyrenees, <strong>and</strong> at EU level (<strong>Climate</strong>-ADAPT). The scope<br />

of the platforms varies, <strong>and</strong> many are l<strong>in</strong>ked directly<br />

to the implementation of national strategies <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

action plans. The type of <strong>in</strong>formation that appears<br />

most often <strong>in</strong>cludes policy action at transnational,<br />

national <strong>and</strong> sub-national levels, scientific research<br />

output, guidance, decision-support tools, <strong>and</strong><br />

experiences from practice <strong>and</strong> implemented<br />

adaptation measures. The implementation <strong>and</strong><br />

evaluation of national adaptation strategies <strong>and</strong> also<br />

the EU Strategy will probably enlarge the scope of<br />

the platforms. The need for relevant <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

<strong>and</strong> knowledge at the city level will <strong>in</strong>crease. A lot<br />

of new <strong>in</strong>formation will become available from<br />

national- <strong>and</strong> EU-funded research (Horizon 2020). It<br />

will be a challenge to update platforms accord<strong>in</strong>gly,<br />

while ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g appropriate quality control, <strong>and</strong><br />

select<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>formation that is most relevant for<br />

users. Experiences from practice <strong>and</strong> implemented<br />

adaptation measures are expected to receive<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g attention. Enhanc<strong>in</strong>g user engagement is<br />

key, as the relevance <strong>and</strong> usability of the platform<br />

are strongly l<strong>in</strong>ked to the successful uptake of the<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation that it provides.<br />

7.2 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>impacts</strong><br />

The availability of data on the monitor<strong>in</strong>g of the <strong>impacts</strong><br />

of climate <strong>change</strong> on environmental systems, society<br />

<strong>and</strong> economy is presented <strong>in</strong> Chapters 4 <strong>and</strong> 5 of this<br />

report. Here, an overview <strong>and</strong> analysis is provided.<br />

7.2.1 National assessments<br />

The knowledge base on climate <strong>change</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>vulnerability</strong> across <strong>Europe</strong> has <strong>in</strong>creased over the past<br />

years ow<strong>in</strong>g to enhanced <strong>and</strong>/or cont<strong>in</strong>ued monitor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>and</strong> EU <strong>and</strong> national research projects. A range of<br />

countries have developed national impact, <strong>vulnerability</strong><br />

316 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report

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