Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

References
Hegland, S. J., Nielsen, A., Lázaro, A., Bjerknes, A. L. and
Totland, U., 2009, 'How does climate warming affect
plant-pollinator interactions?', Ecology Letters 12(2),
184–195 (doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01269.x).
Heinrich, G. and Gobiet, A., 2012, 'The future of dry and
wet spells in Europe: a comprehensive study based on
the ENSEMBLES regional climate models', International
Journal of Climatology 32(13), 1 951–1 970 (doi: 10.1002/
joc.2421).
Hellmann, J. J., Byers, J. E., Bierwagen, B. G. and Dukes,
J. S., 2008, 'Five potential consequences of climate
change for invasive species', Conservation Biology 22(3),
534–543 (doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2008.00951.x).
Hickler, T., Vohland, K., Feehan, J., Miller, P. A., Smith,
B., Costa, L., Giesecke, T., Fronzek, S., Carter, T. R.,
Cramer, W., Kühn, I. and Sykes, M. T., 2012, 'Projecting
the future distribution of European potential natural
vegetation zones with a generalized, tree speciesbased
dynamic vegetation model', Global Ecology
and Biogeography 21(1), 50–63 (doi: 10.1111/j.1466-
8238.2010.00613.x).
Hickling, R., Roy, D. B., Hill, J. K., Fox, R. and Thomas,
C. D., 2006, 'The distributions of a wide range of
taxonomic groups are expanding polewards', Global
Change Biology 12(3), 450–455 (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-
2486.2006.01116.x).
Hiederer, R. and Durrant, T., 2010, Evaluation of
BioSoil Demonstration Project: Preliminary data analysis,
EUR 24258 EN, JRC, Ispra.
Hlásny, T. and Turčáni, M., 2009, 'Insect pests
as climate change driven disturbances in forest
ecosystems', in: Střelcová, K., Mátyás, C., Kleidon, A.,
et al. (eds), Bioclimatology and natural hazards, Springer
Netherlands, Dordrecht, pp. 165–177.
Hódar, J. A., Castro, J. and Zamora, R., 2003, 'Pine
processionary caterpillar Thaumetopoea pityocampa
as a new threat for relict Mediterranean Scots pine
forests under climatic warming', Biological Conservation
110(1), 123–129 (doi: 10.1016/S0006-3207(02)00183-0).
Hodgson, J. A., Thomas, C. D., Oliver, T. H., Anderson,
B. J., Brereton, T. M. and Crone, E. E., 2011, 'Predicting
insect phenology across space and time', Global
Change Biology 17(3), 1 289–1 300 (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-
2486.2010.02308.x).
Hof, A. R., Jansson, R. and Nilsson, C., 2012, 'Future
climate change will favour non-specialist mammals in
the (sub)Arctics', PLOS ONE 7(12), e52574 (doi: 10.1371/
journal.pone.0052574).
Hulme, P. E., 2012, 'Invasive species unchecked by
climate', Science 335(6068), 537–538 (doi: 10.1126/
science.335.6068.537-b).
Huntley, B., Collingham, Y. C., Willis, S. G. and Green,
R. E., 2008, 'Potential Impacts of Climatic Change
on European Breeding Birds', PLoS ONE 3(1), e1439
(doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0001439).
Isbell, F., Craven, D., Connolly, J., Loreau, M., Schmid, B.,
Beierkuhnlein, C., Bezemer, T. M., Bonin, C., Bruelheide,
H., de Luca, E., Ebeling, A., Griffin, J. N., Guo, Q., Hautier,
Y., Hector, A., Jentsch, A., Kreyling, J., Lanta, V., Manning,
P. et al., 2015, 'Biodiversity increases the resistance of
ecosystem productivity to climate extremes', Nature
526(7574), 574–577 (doi: 10.1038/nature15374).
ISSG, 2011, 'Global Invasive Species Database (GISD)'
(http://www.issg.org/database).
IUCN, 2009, Guidelines on biofuels and invasive species,
International Union for Conservation of Nature and
Natural Resources, Gland.
IUCN, 2012, IUCN Red List Categories and Criteria:
Version 3.1. Second edition, International Union for
Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources, Gland,
Switzerland, and Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Ivits, E., Cherlet, M., Tóth, G., Sommer, S., Mehl, W.,
Vogt, J. and Micale, F., 2012, 'Combining satellite derived
phenology with climate data for climate change impact
assessment', Global and Planetary Change 88–89, 85–97
(doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.03.010).
Jactel, H., Petit, J., Desprez-Loustau, M.-L., Delzon, S.,
Piou, D., Battisti, A. and Koricheva, J., 2012, 'Drought
effects on damage by forest insects and pathogens:
a meta-analysis', Global Change Biology 18(1), 267–276
(doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02512.x).
Jiguet, F., Gregory, R. D., Devictor, V., Green, R. E., Vorisek,
P., van Strien, A. and Couvet, D., 2010, 'Population
trends of European common birds are predicted
by characteristics of their climatic niche', Global
Change Biology 16(2), 497–505 (doi: 10.1111/j.1365-
2486.2009.01963.x).
Jochner, S. C., Sparks, T. H., Estrella, N. and Menzel, A.,
2012, 'The influence of altitude and urbanisation on
trends and mean dates in phenology (1980–2009)',
International Journal of Biometeorology 56(2), 387–394
(doi: 10.1007/s00484-011-0444-3).
Johnston, A., Ausden, M., Dodd, A. M., Bradbury, R. B.,
Chamberlain, D. E., Jiguet, F., Thomas, C. D., Cook, A. S. C.
P., Newson, S. E., Ockendon, N., Rehfisch, M. M., Roos, S.,
374 Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 | An indicator-based report