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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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Multi-sectoral <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>and</strong> risks<br />

It suggested that cities at higher risk are ma<strong>in</strong>ly<br />

located over the central cont<strong>in</strong>ental <strong>Europe</strong>an belt,<br />

extend<strong>in</strong>g from central France to Romania <strong>and</strong><br />

Bulgaria, with a few higher risk cities also <strong>in</strong> the United<br />

K<strong>in</strong>gdom, southern Greece <strong>and</strong> the Baltic countries.<br />

Interest<strong>in</strong>gly, the Mediterranean cities show medium<br />

to lower levels of risk. These urban areas have<br />

historically suffered recurrent heat wave episodes <strong>and</strong><br />

thus have already developed adaptation measures to<br />

tackle heat waves (Tapia et al., 2015).<br />

Higher temperatures, more sunlight <strong>and</strong> dry<br />

conditions can also <strong>in</strong>crease air pollutants such as<br />

PM <strong>and</strong> ozone, add<strong>in</strong>g to health problems under heat<br />

waves. Hot, dry summers with long-last<strong>in</strong>g periods of<br />

high air pressure over large parts of <strong>Europe</strong>, such as<br />

the 2003 heat wave, lead to elevated summer ozone<br />

concentrations. Cities <strong>in</strong> the south of <strong>Europe</strong> are<br />

already show<strong>in</strong>g higher ozone levels <strong>and</strong> are expect<strong>in</strong>g<br />

further temperature <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> the future (see also<br />

Section 5.2.4).<br />

Ow<strong>in</strong>g to the high soil seal<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> cities, any excess water<br />

from extreme ra<strong>in</strong>fall cannot dra<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>to the ground <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>stead is led <strong>in</strong>to the sewage system. Sewage systems<br />

are often not designed to take up these amounts of<br />

Map 6.8<br />

Average annual number of nights of thermal discomfort for two <strong>in</strong>dicators<br />

-30°<br />

-20°<br />

-10°<br />

0°<br />

10°<br />

20°<br />

30°<br />

40°<br />

50°<br />

60°<br />

70°<br />

Annual number of nights of<br />

thermal discomfort<br />

Annual number of nights of<br />

thermal discomfort <strong>in</strong> the<br />

period 2002–2012<br />

0<br />

60°<br />

0.01–5<br />

5–10<br />

10–50<br />

50°<br />

> 50<br />

Annual number of comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

tropical nights (above 20 ºC)<br />

<strong>and</strong> hot days (above 35 ºC) <strong>in</strong><br />

the period 1961–1990<br />

50°<br />

0–2<br />

2–6<br />

6–10<br />

10–14<br />

40°<br />

14–18<br />

18–22<br />

22–26<br />

40°<br />

26–30<br />

30–34<br />

34–38<br />

38–42<br />

-20°<br />

Canary Is.<br />

Azores Is.<br />

-30°<br />

30°<br />

42–46<br />

46–50<br />

30°<br />

40°<br />

> 50<br />

30°<br />

0°<br />

Madeira Is.<br />

10°<br />

20° 0 500 30° 1 000 1 500 km40°<br />

No data<br />

Outside coverage<br />

Note:<br />

As a proxy for thermal comfort, the dots show the average number of nights of thermal discomfort occurr<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the period from April to<br />

September. Thermal discomfort is def<strong>in</strong>ed as the maximum effective temperature be<strong>in</strong>g above 21 °C at midnight (which is different from<br />

air temperature), tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account the UHI effect. The <strong>in</strong>teractive version of this map, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g additional layers, detailed technical<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation <strong>and</strong> further thematic maps, can be found <strong>in</strong> the EEA map book on urban <strong>vulnerability</strong> ( 128 ).<br />

Source: Fischer <strong>and</strong> Schär, 2010; EEA, 2015; EEA et al., 2015.<br />

( 128 ) http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/tools/urban-adaptation/<strong>in</strong>troduction.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report<br />

307

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