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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> on environmental systems<br />

Figure 4.7<br />

Observed <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong> global mean sea level<br />

Sea level (mm)<br />

80<br />

40<br />

0<br />

– 40<br />

– 80<br />

– 120<br />

– 160<br />

– 200<br />

1880<br />

1900<br />

1920<br />

1940<br />

1960<br />

1980<br />

2000<br />

2020<br />

Global mean sea level (reconstruction)<br />

Global mean sea level (satellite altimeter)<br />

Global mean sea level (uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty range)<br />

Note:<br />

Source:<br />

The figure depicts the rise <strong>in</strong> global mean sea level from 1880 to 2015, relative to the 1990 level, based on two sources. The green l<strong>in</strong>e<br />

shows a reconstruction for 1880 to 2013 from coastal <strong>and</strong> isl<strong>and</strong> tide gauge data. The uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>in</strong>terval is shown <strong>in</strong> grey. The dark blue<br />

l<strong>in</strong>e shows a time series for 1993 to 2015 based on altimeter data from the TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1 <strong>and</strong> Jason-2 satellites. Corrections<br />

for the <strong>in</strong>verse barometer effect <strong>and</strong> glacial isostatic adjustment have been applied.<br />

Adapted from Church <strong>and</strong> White, 2011; Masters et al., 2012. Data supplied by Benoit Legresy (Commonwealth Scientific <strong>and</strong> Industrial<br />

Research Organisation (CSIRO)).<br />

from melt<strong>in</strong>g of the Greenl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Antarctic ice sheets<br />

has <strong>in</strong>creased s<strong>in</strong>ce the early 1990s. Changes <strong>in</strong> l<strong>and</strong><br />

water storage have made only a small contribution,<br />

but the rate of groundwater extraction has <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

recently <strong>and</strong> now exceeds the rate of storage <strong>in</strong><br />

reservoirs (Church et al., 2011, 2013; Clark et al.,<br />

2015). A recent study concludes that climate-driven<br />

variability <strong>in</strong> precipitation has resulted <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

water storage on l<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> that global sea level rise<br />

<strong>in</strong> the period 2002–2014 would have been 15–20 %<br />

higher <strong>in</strong> the absence of this climate variability (Reager<br />

et al., <strong>2016</strong>).<br />

126 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report

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