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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> on environmental systems<br />

mid‐20th century. The number of 'dead zones' globally<br />

has <strong>in</strong>creased from about 20 <strong>in</strong> the 1950s to about 400<br />

<strong>in</strong> the 2000s (Diaz <strong>and</strong> Rosenberg, 2008).<br />

Extensive areas with oxygen depletion or even anoxic<br />

areas have been observed for decades <strong>in</strong> all <strong>Europe</strong>an<br />

seas (Map 4.1) (Diaz <strong>and</strong> Rosenberg, 2008; HELCOM,<br />

2009; UNEP/MAP, 2013; Friedrich et al., 2014; Djakovac<br />

et al., 2015; Topcu <strong>and</strong> Brockmann, 2015).<br />

The largest area of human-<strong>in</strong>duced hypoxia <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>,<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> fact globally, is found with<strong>in</strong> the Baltic Sea<br />

(<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the adjacent seas towards the North Sea).<br />

The Baltic Sea is a shallow bas<strong>in</strong> with restricted <strong>in</strong>lets,<br />

mean<strong>in</strong>g that the water has a high residence time,<br />

mak<strong>in</strong>g this water body prone to hypoxia. Hypoxic<br />

areas <strong>in</strong> the Baltic Sea have <strong>in</strong>creased more than<br />

10‐fold, from 5 000 to 60 000 km 2 , s<strong>in</strong>ce 1900, with<br />

most of the <strong>in</strong>crease happen<strong>in</strong>g after 1950 (Map 4.2).<br />

This expansion is primarily l<strong>in</strong>ked to <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong>puts<br />

of nutrients from the l<strong>and</strong>, but <strong>in</strong>creased respiration<br />

from higher temperatures dur<strong>in</strong>g the last two decades<br />

(s<strong>in</strong>ce the early 1990s) has contributed to worsen<strong>in</strong>g<br />

oxygen levels (Carstensen et al., 2014; Pyhälä et al.,<br />

2014).<br />

Oxygen depletion <strong>in</strong>itially affects benthic organisms<br />

(i.e. those liv<strong>in</strong>g on or <strong>in</strong> the seabed). Benthic organisms<br />

carry out important ecosystem functions, such as<br />

bioturbation, bioirrigation <strong>and</strong> sediment nutrient<br />

cycl<strong>in</strong>g. Benthic organisms also play a crucial role <strong>in</strong> the<br />

mar<strong>in</strong>e food web, so reductions <strong>in</strong> benthic organisms<br />

can have large <strong>impacts</strong> to commercial fisheries. The<br />

loss of benthic macrofauna <strong>in</strong> the Baltic Sea (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

adjacent seas) as a result of hypoxia has been<br />

estimated at 3 million tonnes or about 30 % of Baltic<br />

secondary production (Karlson et al., 2002; Diaz <strong>and</strong><br />

Rosenberg, 2008).<br />

Map 4.1<br />

Distribution of oxygen-depleted 'dead zones' <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>an seas<br />

-20°<br />

-10°<br />

40°<br />

50°<br />

Distribution of locations with<br />

observed hypoxia<br />

Classification<br />

Celtic Sea<br />

Greater North Sea<br />

(<strong>in</strong>cl. Kattegat <strong>and</strong><br />

the English Channel)<br />

Baltic S<br />

Eutrophic<br />

Hypoxia (not specified)<br />

Hypoxia (episodic)<br />

Hypoxia (seasonal)<br />

50°<br />

Hypoxia (persistent)<br />

Regional seas<br />

ay<br />

a a<br />

Bay of Biscay <strong>and</strong> the Iberian Coast<br />

Black Sea<br />

Adriatic Sea<br />

40°<br />

Western<br />

editerranean Sea<br />

M edite<br />

0 500 1000 1500 km<br />

ranean Sea<br />

Ionian<br />

<strong>and</strong> the C<br />

Mediterrane<br />

a<br />

tral<br />

a<br />

A ean<br />

Levanti Sea<br />

40°<br />

Note:<br />

Circles depict scientifically reported accounts of eutrophication-associated 'dead zones'. The area covered by 'dead zones' is not<br />

presented, as such <strong>in</strong>formation is not generally available.<br />

Source: Adapted from Diaz <strong>and</strong> Rosenberg, 2008.<br />

120 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report

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