Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

Changes in the climate system
Map 3.7 Observed trends in annual and summer precipitation across Europe between 1960 and 2015
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-30° Summer -20°
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Trends in annual (left) and summer (right) precipitation across Europe between 1960 and 2015
Annual precipitation (mm/decade)
0 500 1 000 1 500 km
Summer precipitation (mm/decade)
– 80 – 60 – 40 – 20 0 20 40 60 80 – 20 – 15 – 10 – 5 0 5 10 15 20
No data
Outside
coverage
Note:
Boxes that have a thick outline contain at least three stations. Black dots represent high confidence in the long-term trend in that box
(at the 5 % level).
Source: EEA and UK Met Office, based on the E-OBS dataset (updated from Haylock et al., 2008).
Map 3.8
Projected change in annual and summer precipitation
Annual
60
o
Summer
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o
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o
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o
Projected change in annual (left) and summer (right) precipitation
%
Outside coverage
0 500 1 000 1 500 km
– 40 – 30 – 20 – 10 – 5 5 10 20 30
Note:
This map shows projected changes in annual (left) and summer (right) precipitation (%) in the period 2071–2100 compared with the
baseline period 1971–2000 for the forcing scenario RCP8.5. Model simulations are based on the multi-model ensemble average of many
different RCM simulations from the EURO-CORDEX initiative.
Source: EURO-CORDEX (Jacob et al., 2014).
Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 | An indicator-based report
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