Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

Climate change impacts on society
Map 5.12 Projected changes in water-limited yield of winter wheat, 2000–2030
-30°
-20°
-10°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
HADGEM2 No CO 2
fertilisation effect included MIROC No CO 2
fertilisation effect included
-30°
-20°
-10°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
60°
60°
50°
50°
50°
50°
40°
40°
40°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
-30°
-20°
-10°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
HADGEM2 CO 2
fertilisation effect included MIROC CO 2
fertilisation effect included
-30°
-20°
-10°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
60°
60°
50°
50°
50°
50°
40°
40°
40°
40°
0°
10°
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40°
0°
10°
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30°
40°
Projected change in mean water–limited yield of winter wheat by 2030
Percentage
< – 20
– 20 to – 10
– 10 to – 5
– 5 to 5
5 to 10
10 to 20
> 20
No winter wheat simulated
Outside coverage
0 500 1 000 1 500 km
© European Union 2016, source: Joint Research Centre
Note:
Source:
The map shows projections of the change in water-limited yield of winter wheat in the 2030s compared with the reference period
centred on 2000 for two different global climate models. The upper maps represent yields without CO 2 fertilisation and the lower maps
represent yields with the CO 2 fertilisation effect. The simulations were performed using the WOFOST model for the RCM8.5 emissions
scenario.
JRC.
234 Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 | An indicator-based report