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Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> on society<br />

Map 5.13<br />

Projected <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> water-limited crop yield<br />

-30°<br />

-20°<br />

-10°<br />

0°<br />

10°<br />

20°<br />

30°<br />

40°<br />

50°<br />

60°<br />

70°<br />

Projected <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong><br />

water-limited crop yield<br />

(%)<br />

– 25 to – 15<br />

60°<br />

– 15 to – 5<br />

– 5 to 5<br />

5 to 15<br />

50°<br />

15 to 25<br />

25 to 35<br />

> 35<br />

50°<br />

No data<br />

Outside coverage<br />

40°<br />

40°<br />

0 500 0° 1000 150010°<br />

km<br />

20°<br />

30°<br />

40°<br />

Note:<br />

The map shows the mean relative <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> water-limited crop yield simulated by the <strong>Climate</strong>Crop model for the 2050s compared<br />

with the period 1961–1990 for 12 different climate model projections under the A1B emissions scenario. The simulation assumes that<br />

the irrigated area rema<strong>in</strong>s constant, <strong>and</strong> the results comb<strong>in</strong>e the response of the key crops wheat, maize <strong>and</strong> soybean, weighted by<br />

their current distribution.<br />

Source: Adapted from Iglesias et al., 2012 <strong>and</strong> Ciscar et al., 2011.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>2016</strong> | An <strong>in</strong>dicator-based report<br />

235

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