Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

Climate change impacts on environmental systems
Figure 4.11
Projected change in seasonal streamflow for 12 rivers
1
Glomma
(Langnes, Norway)
1
Prosna
(Boguslaw, Poland)
1
Kemijoki
(Isohaara,Finland)
1
Daugava
(Daugavpils, Latvia)
7–day norm. discharge [–]
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0
0
0
Min = 121 m 3 /s
Min = 7 m 3 /s
Min = 155 m 3 /s
Min = 195 m 3 /s
Upstream area = 40 243 km 2 Upstream area = 4 304 km 2 Upstream area = 50 686 km 2 Upstream area = 64 500 km 2
Max = 1 452 m 3 /s
Max = 20 m 3 /s
Max = 1 216 m 3 /s
Max = 794 m 3 /s
1
Loire
(Montjean, France)
1
Thames
(Kingston, United Kingdom)
1
Rhein
(Neuhausen, Switzerland)
1
Danube
(Harsova, Romania)
7–day norm. discharge [–]
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Min = 25 m 3 /s
Max = 2 277 m 3 /s
Upstream area = 11 000 km 2
0
0
Min = 5 m 3 /s
Min = 128 m 3 /s
Max = 181 m 3 /s
Max = 675 m 3 /s
Upstream area = 9 948 km 2 Upstream area = 11 887 km 2
0
Min = 3 465 m 3 /s
Max = 8 691 m 3 /s
Upstream area = 70 910 km 2
1
Minho
(Lugo, Spain)
1
Segre
(Seros, Spain)
1
Rhone
(Beaucaire, France)
1
Po
(Pontelagoscuro, Italy)
7–day norm. discharge [–]
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Min = 8 m 3 /s
Max = 143 m 3 /s
Upstream area = 2 303 km 2
January
March
May
July
August
October
December
0
Min = 259 m 3 /s
Min = 46 m 3 /s
0
Min = 523 m 3 /s
0
Upstream area = 12 782 km 2 Upstream area = 95 590 km 2 Upstream area = 70 091 km 2
Max = 150 m 3 /s
Max = 2 446 m 3 /s
Max = 2 180 m 3 /s
January
March
May
July
August
October
December
January
March
May
July
August
October
December
January
March
May
July
August
October
December
Projected change in seasonal streamflow for 12 rivers
Streamflow in control period Projected streamflow in 2080s Scenario accounting for water use in 2080s
Frost season in control period
Frost season in 2080s
Note:
Source:
This figure shows simulated seven-day average river flows at 12 European river monitoring stations in the control period (light-grey lines)
and the 2080s (black lines). The red lines reflect a future river flow scenario accounting for projected changes in water use. Blue shaded
areas indicate the frost season in both periods (control as light blue, 2080s as dark blue).
Adapted from Forzieri et al., 2014. Reproduced with permission.
Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 | An indicator-based report
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