Climate change impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

Climate change impacts on environmental systems
Map 4.17
Projected change in climatic suitability for broadleaf and needleleaf trees
-30° -20° -10°
Broadleaf trees
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
-30° -20° -10° 0°
Needleleaf trees
10°
20°
30°
40°
50°
60°
70°
60°
60°
50°
50°
50°
50°
40°
40°
40°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
0°
10°
20°
30°
40°
Projected changes in broadleaf (left) and needleleaf (right) tree composition from species habitat suitability changes
High: 13
Low: – 13
No data
Outside coverage
0 500 1 000 1 500 km
High: 4
Low: – 5
Note:
The two maps indicate to what degree broadleaf (left) and needleleaf (right) tree species are expected to increase (blue) or decrease
(brown) in numbers by 2100. The results represent ensemble species distribution modelling simulations, using climate projections from
six RCMs under the A1B scenario.
Source: Adapted from Lindner et al., 2014.
176 Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 | An indicator-based report